comment_id,post_id,post_title,body,score,created_utc
k1ux0ji,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Register to vote. Vote. Help someone else register and vote.,6375,2023-09-23 14:39:38
k1uwy3z,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",[deleted],2804,2023-09-23 14:39:11
k1uway4,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","All of these articles fixate on polling, which is not particularly useful this far out, and most don’t even mention party performances in this year’s special elections. 

Special elections the year before a presidential election are very predictive of that election, and in 30 special elections across a dozen states this year…Democrats have outperformed the district’s normal political lean by 11 points on average. 

That is actual election data. It is voter action. It encompasses thousands and thousands of Americans and nearly a quarter of all states…and it is an 11 point overperformance on average. 

I can’t take any nailbiter fretting seriously if it doesn’t have an explanation for that.",1578,2023-09-23 14:34:50
k1v6fd6,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I try to not bother my friends and family about politics most days but when election time comes, oh boy do they get a lot of reminders from me.

Love my states vote by mail convenience.",1325,2023-09-23 15:41:45
k1vj10s,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","When he inevitably passes away, someone with his same ideals and personality will step into his shoes. You’re right. It will continue as long as people, politicians and Fox News keep preaching his lies. Fox needs to die. And money needs to be poured into our educational system.",987,2023-09-23 17:01:30
k1v8qfq,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","People didn't believe he could win in 2016. He did.. The only way we can guarantee he doesn't win again is make sure we show up and vote.  Our democracy, our country is at stake.   Show up and vote, make sure he never is President again.",941,2023-09-23 15:56:23
k1v8dnw,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Oregon registers it's voters and sends a pamphlet with info about candidates, measures, and other things a month before election, and then the ballot before too. I wish all states did it this easily.",606,2023-09-23 15:54:06
k1vqir9,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I keep saying that Texas is not a red state - it’s a non-voting state.

It’s gerrymandered within an inch of its life, which suppresses voting.

It limits early voting, which suppresses voting.

It moves polling places away from areas where people who don’t vote republican live, which suppresses voting.

It limits the number of voting machines in places where people who don’t vote republican live, which suppresses voting.

Additionally, somehow, it’s only voting machines in non-republican areas that consistently malfunction, or that don’t have enough supplies on hand, which suppresses voting.

It limits places to drop off mail-in ballots, which suppresses voting.

It limits what forms of ID are acceptable at polling places to only those that their supporters are most likely to have, which suppresses voting.

It ignores judicial decisions that do not favor republicans, the effects of which suppresses voting.

It suppresses and oppresses minorities at every opportunity, which suppresses voting.

Literally EVERYTHING that republicans can do to suppress voting, they maximize here in Texas.

Why?  Because Texas is the ballgame.  If they lose Texas’ electoral votes, they’d have to alter their message in order to win votes somewhere else.

And republicans have absolutely zero interest in doing anything that doesn’t include hatred, intolerance, cruelty, racism, fascism, and promotion of evangelical conservatism at the expense of the rest of the country’s rights.",563,2023-09-23 17:48:27
k1wxj7a,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","People forget that he got 10 million MORE votes in 2020 than he did in 2016. 

He'll get even more in 2024. **Seventy percent** of Republicans believe that Biden stole the election. They're going to be ultra fired up for the next election.",393,2023-09-23 22:21:44
k1uxbyu,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","The mainstream media seems to want corrupt donnie to win. You can dismiss polls but he does have a scarily large amount of support out there. 

I think we should all reach out to our family and friends and talk to them. I think so many Americans are in the dark because the mainstream media is ignoring things like Project 2025 while promoting ""Biden is too old"". Even NPR had a long story about Biden being too old this past week. Corrupt donnie was found guilty of sexual assault and -no one- is mentioning that. 

If corrupt donnie were to get into the White House again (and it is very very possible) democracy will be **over** in the USA.  

It is up to **YOU** to save democracy.",386,2023-09-23 14:41:49
k1v2la2,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Still going to vote, donate, and recruit like we're one election away from full-blown fascism, because we are one election away from full blown fascism.",375,2023-09-23 15:17:00
k1v3xoy,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",">I can’t take any nailbiter fretting seriously if it doesn’t have an explanation for that.

That nailbiter fretting is the reason Democrats are turning out in the first place.",369,2023-09-23 15:25:47
k1vnu1v,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",The delusional people on the right literally think the dead son of a long dead democratic president will resurface and support Trump. Reality doesn’t exist for these people and Trump dying will not stop them. I’m afraid how insane they will get with theories once Trump dies. Look at the photoshop memes of Trump when we have irrefutable evidence every day of what he really looks like. This guy will be able to beat the terminator in a straight up physical fight once they are done rewriting Trump’s history.,351,2023-09-23 17:31:33
k1v1uwf,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","The American Media would love for this to happen. Thats why they write these articles. It is absurd. The most click baity “news” companys put out shit like this because they know who their audience is which is the majority of the American internet. So they put up these articles because they’ll drive the most clicks but it also drives a narrative subconsciously in American minds. It erodes hope. 

We need investigative journalists. We need the 630 news. We need good, online newspaper style outlets. But we never needed this 24-Hour News Cycle that has now morphed into reality tv. Now at its worst are these online mega “news” company’s that are just Frankenstein monster creations of the biggest media company’s all to capitalize on bullshit affiliated marketing schemes in ad placement on their sites.",314,2023-09-23 15:12:11
k1vbhyr,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",When I moved here from Texas it really opened my eyes to how much knowledge is gate kept from everyone around voting time. It was so easy to vote for the folks who aligned with my viewpoint here with that pamphlet explaining everyone on the ballot.,307,2023-09-23 16:13:59
k1uwzoa,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",This is such a great answer. Thanks for your perspective,280,2023-09-23 14:39:28
k1ux5a6,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",It will be the end of America if he does.,275,2023-09-23 14:40:33
k1vr2c6,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Exactly. The last thing we need right now is to get complacent and take victories for granted.,217,2023-09-23 17:51:53
k1v2zft,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Yes, do not get complacent. Send these fuckers back to the trash where they belong!",171,2023-09-23 15:19:34
k1x8d55,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",His opponents got more votes both times for what it’s worth.,154,2023-09-23 23:38:37
k1vxnk0,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Don't forget that the Lege has moved to essentially negate Harris County's vote, the most densely populated county in the US with Houston as the most diverse city in the US. 

If that happens, I expect there will be real trouble in the streets in Houston and Harris, as there should be.",153,2023-09-23 18:33:04
k1vi4nz,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","He’s openly promising mass arrests and dictatorship.  And, weirdly enough, a big part of the electorate wants exactly that.",150,2023-09-23 16:55:50
k1vesf2,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","This can’t be emphasized enough. I have a daughter that just turned voting age. Got her all registered and we plan on voting early. Make voting a family tradition and event. When early voting starts we are all going to take extended lunches from work, go grab a bite as a family and cast our ballots. She even said she would be that pain in the ass friend that gets her friends to vote too. Voting early is the way to go. There are no lines and you are out in like 5 minutes.",148,2023-09-23 16:34:51
k1vr99m,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",His presidency will be a college course throughout the country. Debated ad nauseam.,148,2023-09-23 17:53:07
k1uyr07,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I’m certainly planning to vote as such, and every sane person in America should do the same. It’s be cool if some of the not so sane would do the same. We can’t afford another trump term. The whole world would know we were tanking.",140,2023-09-23 14:51:23
k1vb01k,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Yeah, I contacted the Secretary of State when I moved to Indiana and suggested a voting system and pamphlets like Washington. He wrote back and said, ""Great idea! Why don't you spearhead it?"" I wrote back and said I would, and never heard back, even after several follow-ups.",116,2023-09-23 16:10:47
k1vk5b8,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",">weirdly enough

Dictatorships and theocracies have occurred all throughout history and all over the globe. If anything, it's democracy and freedom that are the outliers that are rarely seen historically.",109,2023-09-23 17:08:27
k1vxkq0,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Massive Voter turnout is the only way to surpass those things and if we don’t get it, you’ll have a tiny minority running this country.",109,2023-09-23 18:32:35
k1w55ai,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Fuck yes. The feeling of, ""It's a done deal, no way x can win"" is how we got 4 years of trump in the first place. And without 4 years of trump Barret, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh wouldn't be on SCOTUS, and without them on SCOTUS we'd still have Roe. 


Let's keep up the nail biting.",106,2023-09-23 19:20:25
k1v7pxr,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Which is why I think it's already basically over.  We can't have a functioning system if the opposing party winning even one election means the end of the Republic.,104,2023-09-23 15:49:58
k1v3y3g,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",It’s good for their profits.,103,2023-09-23 15:25:51
k1va3ij,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Help get college kids and disabled to the polls. Republicans are closing down polls on college campuses and discrediting mail in ballots like crazy, to suppress the vote.

Get everyone to register now WELL BEFORE the deadline. The GOP will do ANYTHING to keep you from voting!  


[https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/texass-voter-suppression-law-trial](https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/texass-voter-suppression-law-trial)",100,2023-09-23 16:05:01
k1xd2vb,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Yeah if the US was a normal country with normal elections, I would be much less concerned",100,2023-09-24 00:12:57
k1v9ord,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Volunteer, too. Phonebanking, canvassing, letter writing... whatever you're comfortable with.",98,2023-09-23 16:02:27
k1v12qf,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","> All of these articles fixate on polling,

The polls have NEVER been right.

Why do we even use this anymore or why do people believe it?

1000 old people who were stupid enough to answer a phone call at 6pm from a 800 number they don't know and sit there and answer questions does not represent the country.",93,2023-09-23 15:07:01
k1vmfe0,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I was in voice chat in a video game last weekend, and there was a British guy in there.  Of course, he asked if we were trump supporters.  I said fuck no, and the other guy in there (from TX) said he doesn't talk politics.  Anyway, this fucker claimed that Biden is a pedo and trump is a ""real leader"".  I couldn't play with him anymore.  The other guy said he got troll vibes, but OMG.

Then last night I was playing the same game and chatting with a friend on discord who lives in WV, and he said he thought ""trump was a pretty good president"".

I don't understand how it's possible that people see things that way!

We would become a literal banana republic.",89,2023-09-23 17:22:44
k1uye8r,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","lol article like this keep forgetting he lost the last election, a lot of his voters died from covid, and democrats definitely ain’t voting for any Rs. Not to mention he no longer has the benefit of running his election scheme from the inside out i.e the White House. 

There’s also the prospect of a lot of republicans now finally seeing what their affiliated party is really all about and they don’t like it.

Edit: spelling",88,2023-09-23 14:48:58
k1voyz6,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I've been reading a lot of WW2 history lately, primarily focused on diaries and first-hand accounts of German soldiers at the end of the war, into the years of occupation and rebuilding Germany. Many of the true believers in Hitler remained that way until they died. 

It took great focused effort from the late 1940s onward to exorcise his influence, and that job will never be fully completed. Many true believers have finally died in the past few decades, but they lived a long time, and I suspect, so will Trump's.",85,2023-09-23 17:38:38
k1wxiu0,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Salt Lake City actually conducted a trial run where they did something surprising - THEY PROVIDED THE HOMELESS OF THE CITY WITH HOMES!

(You know, like Carlin said to do?)

After a couple of years, they made a shocking discovery - they spent ONE THIRD LESS per person by providing them with shelter where they could keep possessions - including things like medication.  They had an address to put on job applications.  They were able to see people and get help on an ongoing basis.

Many of them were able to stop being homeless.

It ended because the “WHY SHOULD I PAY FOR SOMEONE ELSE TO GET A HOME WHEN I HAVE TO PAY FOR MINE”  crowd started whining.

But THAT is what is possible in Utah.  I still have hope.",82,2023-09-23 22:21:39
k1v6rl6,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",It’ll be the end of America next time too. And the time after that. And the time after that. Forever.,77,2023-09-23 15:43:55
k1vix8g,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","ESPECIALLY in AZ, GA, NV, and WI!!!!

New voters in those specific states will determine the presidency in 2024.

More voters in general will really only help win the House back.",75,2023-09-23 17:00:51
k1vojnn,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Trump's presidency made me open my eyes to how sheltered Ive been. Growing up in the Bay Area then going to school in SoCal, my experience as a minority has more or less been free of overt racism. There were underhanded comments I didn't notice as a kid but nothing crazy. Then Trump got elected, Trump caravans in my neighborhood during covid woke my ass up.

 I've lived in the ""ghetto"" in the past, I work in downtown oakland now and among my friend groups I'm usually the last person to say ""this place is too sketchy"" but the beginning of the pandemic when Trump was dropping those dog whistles in every speech was the first and only time I was legit scared to leave my house and walk down the street.",75,2023-09-23 17:35:58
k1wpxw3,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",In 2020 Texas had the lowest voter turnout % in the entire nation.,75,2023-09-23 21:31:02
k1voya3,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","It's depressing to see, but I've realized humanity largely sees its ideal government as a benevolent dictatorship that shares the majority's values. Democracy isn't our natural state; tyranny is. It's really deepened my cynicism in recent years.",73,2023-09-23 17:38:31
k1v6wnr,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",It’s not weird. It’s capitalism. Reactionary media makes more money.,71,2023-09-23 15:44:50
k1uy0z1,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",If he wins he'll never leave again willingly. Everyone knows this including his brainwashed cult.,70,2023-09-23 14:46:32
k1w5iye,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","You spelled ""ruining"" wrong.",70,2023-09-23 19:22:45
k1w20mu,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I took on course on Nazi Germany in college.  It wasn't about WW2, it was specifically about Germany post WW1, 20's, 30's, and the politics during WW2.  We talked very little about the war itself.

It's absolutely going to happen.",68,2023-09-23 19:00:39
k1vpw6d,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","No one else is as mentally ill as him. All these wannabes like Desantis and Vivek and Pence and Haley and Cruz are not insane. They live in reality and play the parts of disingenuous trolls, but they know what they're spewing is bullshit. Trump is literally an animal, responding on instinct to whatever helps him in the exact moment. No one else will be able to replicate this cult like him.",67,2023-09-23 17:44:30
k1vpgvh,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I think 43% of this country has 0 shame, they'll find another.",67,2023-09-23 17:41:48
k1vcmcq,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I remember 2016 and all of the ""Trump won't win, Relax, the country isn't that 'far gone' to elect him""",66,2023-09-23 16:21:04
k1v3twa,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Yup. Dems have won 24 of the 30 special elections. That is huge.,65,2023-09-23 15:25:05
k1v70vk,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",It’s some sort of sick Truman Show that we’re all watching and starring in at the same time.,63,2023-09-23 15:45:35
k1v86z7,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",The Republican party lead by Trump is unfit for office on all levels..can Americans really be that stupid to vote them into power again..?,62,2023-09-23 15:52:56
k1vuf2k,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","That is the weirdest part to me of the whole cult of Donnie and Q. Why the fuck would a democratic president come back from the dead to rule as God Emperor along side Trump? Let's be real clear about this, Trump is running for President in name only. He will throw out Presidential term limits in a heartbeat and install himself as.soverign. In his head he already is.",62,2023-09-23 18:12:56
k1vmfvc,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",I don’t think anyone has zero shame like he does. I think the spell will *somewhat* be broken when he dies.,61,2023-09-23 17:22:49
k1vba8n,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","If you're going to be somewhat optimistic about it, for a very specific definition of optimistic, the MAGA base is shrinking. They are disproportionately old and  disproportionately took no steps to protect themselves or their families or their communities from the pandemic. To the extent this is a phenomenon specific to Trump himself, he is nearly 80 and rather famously does not take care of his health, so I can't imagine he lives that much longer.  The conservative attempt to create Trumpism without Trump, meanwhile, is for the most part failing. He thrived because the party either had no ideas or ideas that cannot (in some cases, they used to, while in other cases they were never popular) win most elections.",61,2023-09-23 16:12:36
k1w60ly,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Wow, that’s really informative and makes so much sense because honestly, I just never understood Texas until you just explained that. Thanks.",59,2023-09-23 19:25:52
k1wd33k,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Fox news lies every day. That is the only way people think trump is ok. He has been in trouble with the law since the 70s.,58,2023-09-23 20:10:02
k1v0k9l,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Insider is slowly turning into Fox news and I'm baffled by it.,57,2023-09-23 15:03:36
k1v45ij,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",[deleted],55,2023-09-23 15:27:13
k1v9b62,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Shit if I get a call from a number with no name associated with it it goes straight to voicemail. I'm not answering that. And they wonder why all these polls skew conservative. No one in Gen X, millennial, or Gen z are answering that random 6PM 800 number call.",55,2023-09-23 16:00:04
k1v5des,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Polling used to be more accurate and indicative of greater political trends, but in the past few years polling among non-conservative groups has decreased rather sharply. Most of it is simply due to polling methods being severely outdated, and so an older (and therefore more conservative) cohort is all that is easily reached through ""normal"" methods.

But there is still a barefaced issue where polling companies have simply stopped even trying to poll progressives or those who lean left as much as possible. The most active polling companies are heavily favored towards Republican think tanks, and this is leading to a major skew in the data. Some large companies like Pew Research Center still provide comprehensive data with their research, but outside of them you simply just cannot get much info.

Some of that has to do with Democrat PACs simply not spending much money on polling, while Republican PACs spend money like water in an effort to see how best to manage their image/narrative.

But I personally am starting to believe that they aren't polling younger/leftist stuff because the powers that be simply don't want to hear about what will likely be major political trends soon. Their is a MAJOR money incentive for polls to say certain things...or to not give certain people any ideas. When reading polls, seeing what is being said between the lines is just as important as what your actual poll may be saying/suggesting. And because there is very much an anti-wealth sentiment building in the nation based on what polls are coming through, keeping that sentiment tamped down is in the interest of pretty much everyone in charge.",54,2023-09-23 15:34:59
k1vsfcq,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Looks like that is only Mississippi, Alabama, New Hampshire. If you live in these states vote for change and write to your representatives to reverse this.",54,2023-09-23 18:00:31
k1vr1fd,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","This is key. Trump’s advantage is that this is is character. This is how he’s been operating all his life. No one can match that energy or innate self-absorption 

DeSantis was close but couldn’t sustain the energy.",52,2023-09-23 17:51:43
k1vjnvv,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Trump was an unknown in 2016 that happened to tap into the zeitgeist of anger and dissatisfaction (especially with a black President) and yes, he was underestimated.

But since then many people have seen that he is corrupt to the core, stupid as a box of hammers, and has no platform other than ""hurt the libs"" and todo whatever Putin tells him to.

I cannot see him catching that lightning in a bottle again. Let him destroy the last vestiges of the Republican party.",52,2023-09-23 17:05:25
k1v5ihs,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","All the cable news does is whine. MSNBC whines about the right. Fox whines about the left. Cnn used to play both sides but is firmly on the right now.

Rarely do any of them ever, ever, ever talk about solutions.

It's gross",51,2023-09-23 15:35:53
k1v4xoy,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",[deleted],51,2023-09-23 15:32:14
k1vmiz9,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","And last year all but one of the people that Trump personally backed lost.  Kari Lake, Dr Oz, Herschel Walker all were sent packing.  It's actually getting worse for them losing these special elections.  The GOP are losing state legislatures they controlled in some cases for **decades**.  Sure it's no reason to get complacent but people are finally waking the fuck up and seeing the current Republican party for what they really are.",51,2023-09-23 17:23:21
k1vq2oo,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Republicans have had years now to try to replicate his particular type of meanness, and they haven't even come close. They've created plenty of equally evil politicians, but none with his level of poplar appeal.",51,2023-09-23 17:45:38
k1v34ws,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Look at the statewide 2022 vote in Wisconsin. The Democrat governor won and the Republican Senator won. Both were tight races. 

The 2024 Presidential election will be a toss-up in WI and other swing states. Trump is very popular among his base. Even more popular than Biden for Democrat voters.",50,2023-09-23 15:20:33
k1v899d,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","This. In every single measurable area, he has fewer voters than last go-round. Who was the last Biden voter you met or heard on TV who said ""you know, I voted for Biden in 2020 but in 2024 I'm voting for Trump.""  Zero.  People are only fleeing him, there are no new supporters. He didn't have the votes last time, and he most certainly won't have them this time. 

We still have to vote, get younger voters to vote, and be on guard for shenanigans to subvert the voting system. But if the vote works, I can't find a single reason to believe he would have the numbers now when he never had them before.",49,2023-09-23 15:53:20
k1wwodx,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I live in Utah and (to some of the residents, there is a surprising amount of liberal thinkers, mostly concentrating in northern Utah) and the Republicans were able to gerrymander all of the northern voting districts to essentially disenfranchise those ""commie bastards.""

Their reigning in of the power allows them to follow the Republican agenda of hurting those ""undesirable others."" So voting in my state is fucked for a long time because we are so screwed up with the whole gerrymandering.

I hate their conservative agenda and their stance on anything involving the homeless, the people who have to use food stamps, our beautiful LGBTQ+ community, and anyone else who they think is abhorrent, too different, or just plain down on their luck.

They prefer to find those who need a hand up, but instead they kick them while they're down.ots a fucked up situation. All I can do is vote.",49,2023-09-23 22:15:55
k1wy969,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",I’m European and given the current situation I am so afraid of the possibility of Trump winning this round.,47,2023-09-23 22:26:37
k1wtd7w,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I talk about my dad a lot when I talk about politics and Fox News, because he’s my only personal experience of how that kind of voter thinks. You’re totally right- people who watch right wing media, and specifically Fox News, to get their political opinions literally just *don’t know* a LOT of things Trump has done. They don’t talk about it, and they imply that anything anyone who isn’t hard right says about him is untrue. My dad literally does not know most of the things Trump has done that are dangerous and crazy and wrong. 

I was just visiting, and there’s this commercial that plays a million times a day for this charity that builds homes for permanently disabled vets. My dad goes, “I donate to them.” It’s probably a good cause, I don’t know. But the day after I left, this story came out:

>”It doesn't look good for me.” The Atlantic has also previously reported that during a 2018 planning meeting for a military parade, the then-president “asked his staff not to include wounded veterans, on grounds that spectators would feel uncomfortable in the presence of amputees. 'Nobody wants to see that,' he said.”

And I wonder what my dad would think of that, but for sure he’s never once heard that story, because right wing media doesn’t tell their viewers stuff like that.",47,2023-09-23 21:53:44
k1v8vm5,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",CNN got a new owner 2 years ago and he’s made it his mission to turn it more right wing based unfortunately.,46,2023-09-23 15:57:18
k1uxjpm,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",I agree 100%.  I talk to young people everyday about the importance of voting and getting their friends to vote.,45,2023-09-23 14:43:18
k1vkicl,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",[deleted],45,2023-09-23 17:10:44
k1xcxvs,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","They forgot that neo-liberalism requires the working class to be afraid. So welfare needs to bring destitution almost immediately. Put people in debt, make them work paycheck to paycheck so that homelessness is barely 1 disaster away. 

Because when you’re too busy working to survive, you don’t fight for better wages, better working conditions, you don’t have time to vote in your own interests because you don’t have time to educate yourself, and its easier to digest hatred and “the immigrants did it”. 

When you work two jobs to survive, you don’t have time to attend the revolution.",45,2023-09-24 00:11:56
k1vak7c,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Fretting because of the gerrymandering and voter suppression. Remember Texas only allowed one ballot drop box for a county of over 4m people. There were fake ballot boxes effectively discarding votes and things like bans on water for people in long lines. All the voter fraud cases turned out to be republican. 

Massive Voter turnout is the only way to surpass those things and if we don’t get it, you’ll have a tiny minority running this country.",44,2023-09-23 16:07:56
k1wond1,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Kentucky and a bunch of other states are also non-voting states. There are a lot of groups that travel to help register people.,44,2023-09-23 21:22:35
k1xjygv,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","In Florida, Ron DeSantis changed the rules for voting by mail and purged voters from the roles, he also reduced the amount of ballot boxes allowed.  The majority of Republican voters in the state are retirees and they vote by mail. Hopefully, DeSantis's move will comeback and bite the Republicans in the butt.",44,2023-09-24 01:02:43
k1vyg18,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",">When he inevitably passes away, someone with his same ideals and personality will step into his shoes.

I'm of the opinion that Trump is going to be hard to replicate.  He's had a national reputation as a rich businessman for 40 years (which is rare and weird in-and-of itself) so conservative voters see him as an ideal of success for that.  They also like that he's boorish and crass because it makes them feel validated to see someone they fancy is like them being successful and moving in elite circles.  That's an appeal that's going to be hard for any career politician to capture since they don't have the luxury of being crass boors and being successful in their field.  It takes an interloper like Trump to do that.

To be sure, there will be copycats who spout his same sort of rhetoric, but I can't see anyone else easily reproducing that ""perfect storm"" configuration of bizarre and shitty traits that Trump stumbled onto to fully win over his cult.",43,2023-09-23 18:37:56
k1wclh9,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Richard J. Evans’ masterpiece trilogy on The Third Reich—The Coming of The Thord Reich; The Third Reich In Power; The Third Reich at War—covers every detail one needs to have a working knowledge of Nazism, populist-fascist movements, and the blueprint of what the GOP/Project For The New American Century/MAGA has undertaken to wrest the restraint imposed on human nature by Democracy and democratic principles.

I cannot recommend them enough.",43,2023-09-23 20:06:53
k1v216w,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Also for reference, Democrats did fairly well in special elections last summer, even well outperforming polls like NY-19 where the average of 5 polls had the Republican winning by 10, but the Democrat won by 2.4. And as it turned out, Republicans did not see a red wave in November as the media was predicting.",42,2023-09-23 15:13:20
k1v4c9c,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",BI is clickbait pulp garbage.,41,2023-09-23 15:28:25
k1vbq1q,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Of course media outlets would prefer Trump!  He generates more outrage stories than Biden.  And he’s more supportive of the billionaires at the top of these media companies.  Biden and a Dem-majority government are a threat to their overall success and influence.,41,2023-09-23 16:15:24
k1vfl5x,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","There are about a third of voters who actively and enthusiastically want what Trump is offering. They may be stupid, but they are going in eyes open. They want fascism, hate, and the destruction of the country as it stands today. They vote early, often, and gleefully in favor of their candidates.

The challenge is getting enough of the remaining people to get out and actively vote against the GOP. They are letting their imaginary dream candidate stop them from voting for a materially better, if imperfect candidate. They are letting minor flaws in one candidate prevent them from voting against the party that wants to destroy the country. Maybe some of it is stupidity. I think it's more likely that most of it is a mix of naivety and hopelessness. It's terrifying for people to imagine how bad things might get, and so they don't. They imagine that something will stop the next truly awful thing from happening, and convince themselves that if the worst happens they will be okay- somehow. That false comfort breeds inaction. By the time it really is that bad, it will be too late to change it, but people are always convinced that they can fix it somehow.",41,2023-09-23 16:39:49
k1vj25r,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","We love it in Washington. Implemented by a REPUBLICAN secretary of state.  

We had an unbroken string of 50 years of **highly competent** Republican secretaries of state.  Very talented, no-nonsense people.  

The office went from each Sos to their Republican deputy until one of them took a job in the ~~Trump~~ Biden admin.  The governor appointed a Democrat instead of the Republican deputy.  Not sure that was a wise idea in the current election denier atmosphere.

*Edit: the Republican SoS left more recently than I remembered!  Biden's Senior Election Security Advisor is a Republican!  My state's former SoS.*

*I still think the Democratic governor should have appointed a Republican, because this was the only statewide office Republicans had in Washington.*",41,2023-09-23 17:01:42
k1wcn5q,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",We have no shared reality anymore. MAGA doesn't care about reality. They say stuff like I know the truth in my heart and any evidence that they are confronted with means nothing to them. They explain it away with whatever they pull out of their asses. I've never seen anything like this in our country before. I'm so afraid that their orange leader will become our dictator.,41,2023-09-23 20:07:11
k1vy6ql,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","As soon as the spotlight hits DeSantis, people recoil. He's the uncanny valley candidate.",41,2023-09-23 18:36:19
k1w3ev0,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I remember right after Biden took office the TV news was on about - *he hasn't made a public appearance for three days, this is atrocious*

And I'm thinking, that's normal! It isn't normal for the president to be on TV every single day!",39,2023-09-23 19:09:28
k1vefvk,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",The idea that Trump individually is the threat is misguided. The entire Republican Party is an enemy to American democracy.,38,2023-09-23 16:32:38
k1v4pwt,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","But still, we can’t sit back. Everyone needs to vote.",38,2023-09-23 15:30:52
k1vllll,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","As long as he’s hurting the “right people”, not them of course.",38,2023-09-23 17:17:36
k1w5i7y,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","It's a cult, that 40% of Americans are involved in. It won't end with the death of Trump or the end of Fox news. We would need cult deprogramming therapy on a massive scale to get past this.",37,2023-09-23 19:22:37
k1vop12,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","> and has no platform other than ""hurt the libs"" and todo whatever Putin tells him to.

The worry here, and the problem, is that you’re underestimating the percent of the country that views that as a positive rather than a negative.",36,2023-09-23 17:36:53
k1v83uc,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Vote. You want change. Then vote. Not that hard.,35,2023-09-23 15:52:23
k1x859m,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","yet somehow biden gained 3 points on clintons 2016 TX numbers, getting 46.48%. wonder if the numbers will inch up another 3 points 😳 that would put him in swinging distance",35,2023-09-23 23:37:04
k1xl61o,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",It’s a sad indictment of this country that this buffoon and criminal has this much of a chance to be POTUS.  It’s embarrassing honestly.,34,2023-09-24 01:11:41
k1vmxg9,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Act like your 5% down in the polls! Vote and get everyone you know to vote! One of the reasons Trump won in 2016 is because of apathy and contempt thinking Trump would never win!,34,2023-09-23 17:25:51
k1vv1bq,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",[deleted],34,2023-09-23 18:16:50
k1vyf79,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Not the president himself but his son who died in 1999. Completely delusional,34,2023-09-23 18:37:47
k1vvlv9,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",James Madison predicted all of this in the Federalist letters by studying every decline of democratic societies. And he still can up with the stupid bullshit in the Constitution.,34,2023-09-23 18:20:28
k1wagbc,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",I love voting in Oregon. A glass of wine and my pamphlet.... then drop it in the box. 😁😊,33,2023-09-23 19:53:19
k1v9wh5,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","We have been saying the GOP is dead for a couple decades but they keep finding half the voters. The propaganda arm is so strong, allowing them to persist despite being actual Nazis.",33,2023-09-23 16:03:47
k1v72sd,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Also don't forget that it's in the Media's best interest for it to be a horse race. They'll have no issue skewing the data to present it as such, regardless of the damage it does.",32,2023-09-23 15:45:55
k1vl07y,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",AZ checking in. I voted to make sure Kari Lake would not spread her BS. Will be voting to make sure all GQP candidates stay out of office.,32,2023-09-23 17:13:51
k1wqx4b,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","This is the doing of theocracy. People who are brainwashed into their religions, especially the fundies, never learn to think for themselves. They go from parents telling them what to do, to pastors, and teachers. When they finally make it to adulthood, they barely have the ability to think critically and almost always believe they themselves have all the answers and god in their ear telling them what to do. This primes them for wanting authoritarian governments. They don't know what to do or think without someone else telling them. They'll vote for it, hurt themselves in their confusion, and keep voting for it.",32,2023-09-23 21:37:29
k1vcydp,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","This is why the GOP is pushing third party candidates, they are pushing voter suppression. All around making it hard to vote. They know not just Trump, but the entire GOP isn’t popular. They only win by making it an unfair fight and making harder to vote. GOP wins by default. Rural MERIC will show up to vote. Will the rest? Long lines, Tuesday, etc etc. all by design!",29,2023-09-23 16:23:09
k1wxxtn,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Make no mistake, Murdoch and Fox News are an existential threat to America and democracy. They are enemies of the state and should be labeled as such in my opinion. At the very least Fox should be labeled as propaganda.",29,2023-09-23 22:24:26
k1v4wjz,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",White male christian straight and economically upper middle class or higher.,28,2023-09-23 15:32:02
k1vcs22,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I don’t remind my family. They’re all conservatives and they remember to vote, unfortunately.",28,2023-09-23 16:22:03
k1wet6m,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","People who are anti knowledge and ignorant about the psychological dynamics of human beings are not likely to respond to deprogramming. 

These people have been hatefully tribal all along, it’s just that Trump gave them the balls to show their true colors. 
They are actually in the vast minority. The problem is they have a skewed representation in political power.",28,2023-09-23 20:21:07
k1wkail,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I misspoke, it's the most densely populated county in TX and the 3rd most populous county nationwide.",28,2023-09-23 20:55:04
k1vcp2o,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Bother them or we may have to learn Russian!,27,2023-09-23 16:21:31
k1vzmm0,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Fretting AND anger. Don't forget that.,27,2023-09-23 18:45:29
k1vye7j,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Yea Desantis doesn't have the charisma, and Vivek won't get the racist vote. Once Trump passes I think there can't be a heir to the maga movement that has a chance at winning the presidency.",27,2023-09-23 18:37:37
k1vetgm,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",I hope beyond hope that you are right but I just fear their last gasp will be enough to solidify control,27,2023-09-23 16:35:02
k1vhkmh,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",The only path he has is if democrats don’t show up. There is no other path to victory for him.,26,2023-09-23 16:52:20
k1vu3dx,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I don’t agree. We’ve seen many other GOP contenders attempt to take on his “persona”, “swag”, and most hateful beliefs… and something about it has always been lacking.

At the risk of saying he is special I truly believe he specifically has a unique hold on half of the country based on his decades of existence in the public eye and his reality TV reign. I think people helped him build on that to create a unique cult.

Of course there will always be ugly and awful politicians with dangerous sway… but I just don’t see this specific global dynamic occurring ever again. In my opinion.",26,2023-09-23 18:10:52
k1vn824,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Some states don’t allow early voting.,25,2023-09-23 17:27:43
k1vpd85,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I always try and remind people that tRump isn’t the problem, it’s the people that vote for him.  And they’re going nowhere 😒",24,2023-09-23 17:41:09
k1v8za6,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Please don't act as though 2024 is going to be a walk through the park. Biden's Approval Rating only hovers around 41%, same as Trump at this time in office. Yes, January 6th hadn't happened yet, nor COVID ... but, keep in mind that, nationally, neither of those affected his numbers all that much. Presidents have a difficult time winning a reelection with low Approval Rating numbers like these.

(I can't for the life of me see why Biden is so unpopular, but that's the American Electorate for you)

Just in my own community I see Republicans frothing at the mouth and Democrats just nonchalant about American Politics right now. I think this is going to be an even closer race then 2020. Had COVID not happened, I think Trump would have won 2020, and we don't have an event where a President has completely futzed up a global pandemic. I don't see Trump's indictments and court trials having much of an affect on his support at all, and I don't see Trump ever having to step foot in a jail cell. Any guilty verdicts are going to go easy on him. At best, house arrest, and I don't think that's going to have enough of an affect on the Trump Supporters (roughly 40% of Americans we're talking at this point) in staying home (they'll never vote for Biden, the best we can hope for is that they stay home).

Trump winning is a ***very*** strong possibility, and we need to be ready to go out and vote. I was right about 2016 and 2020, I *really* don't want to be right again.",24,2023-09-23 15:57:57
k1vqkho,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","NC as well. It’s trending blue and will most likely be the next swing state, which is why repubs in charge are trying all their dirty tricks to stop it. If enough people show up next year, it’ll flip",24,2023-09-23 17:48:45
k1wawdr,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Yeah I think the Supreme Court is driving turnout at the moment,24,2023-09-23 19:56:06
k1vko3h,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Exactly this. They wants us unhappy so we turn to them for answers and watch their ads.,24,2023-09-23 17:11:44
k1wuin7,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I remember when I thought there weren’t enough lunatics and racists to vote for trump the first time. 

How naïve I was.",24,2023-09-23 22:01:19
k1w0mcx,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Well said my friend,24,2023-09-23 18:51:44
k1yd7ts,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Yep. 74 million voted for P01135809 in 2020. If 75 million had voted for him then he likely would have won, despite Biden getting 81 million.

Someday I hope that America can become a democracy where the candidate who gets the most votes is declared the winner of every election.",24,2023-09-24 05:09:53
k1vdac9,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","""The polling isn't giving Biden an obvious edge""

Aren't these the same polls which had the Demcocrats getting destroyed last mid term election? Polling is downright unreliable when they fail to take into account certain aspects and the demographic which responds to polls are small to begin with and they're all old people. Polls are a very bad source to go by for anything.",23,2023-09-23 16:25:15
k1x1p4q,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","It will be the end of the world as well. This doesn’t get talked about enough but a GOP controlled government will lead to runaway climate change and the often talked about apocalypse the Christians love to talk about so much. 

I read about U.S. politics so much because of this. It will affect everyone.",23,2023-09-23 22:50:40
k1w56l5,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Solutions? How would they ever profit if there were reasonable solutions.

This reminds of me of a Goldman Sachs employee who infamously asks:

""Is a cure for cancer a sustainable business model?"" If the wording isn't exactly right, the meaning was. In fact it's why we're the only country without a nationalized healthcare program. Profits over people.",23,2023-09-23 19:20:38
k1vgjtt,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",And upvote this post so more people vote,22,2023-09-23 16:45:58
k1uxxfk,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","The phenomenon you're speaking about is about the House elections, not the presidential. And when you note that the polls aren't that useful this far out -- sure, but only because a lot of things are going to change, possibly in either direction. If anything, that point underscores Trump's chances, especially given that he's polling better now than he did in the leadup to either of the last two elections.",22,2023-09-23 14:45:52
k1x05b3,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Joe Biden had like *~7,000,000* more popular votes than Captian Covfefe, and we still spent days sitting on pins and needles, mashing F5, and watching Wolf Blitzer point and expand shaded maps of states, making sure that some ~40,000 votes in the wrong places didn't screw us over again.",22,2023-09-23 22:39:48
k1vaao3,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",[deleted],22,2023-09-23 16:06:15
k1wb0hk,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Tiny minority? What a load of shit. Last election you had 75 million people voting for Trump. Technically a minority, but not really, it's actually a scary number.",22,2023-09-23 19:56:50
k1vgnbl,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Every year, 2 million boomers kick the bucket and 4 million gen z are eligible to vote. Make sure it's the young people you get to register and vote.",21,2023-09-23 16:46:35
k1v6x0w,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","And indictments, 2 impeachments, and that little jan 6th thing.

But i was shocked he had so many votes last time.   Will he get more this time?",21,2023-09-23 15:44:53
k1v2s8r,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Sure, but he absolutely needs to poll better than he did on the leadup to the previous election since *he lost that one.* And the House elections in individual states are still a good metric to observe, since only a handful of specific states will be important in 2024.

Trump's best hope for a path to victory is that Biden is unpopular enough that he can just barely squeak by in the EC. Now, to do this he'll have to flip GA back (quite likely, Biden is unpopular there) but he'll also need either WI + MI, or PA too. 

PA is potentially doable for him, but the midwest seems... unlikely. WI is my home state and while there's certainly a lot of Trump love in the rural areas, he is despised in the cities. And of course, that's where the people live. So it's going to be an uphill battle for him there. MI has a democratic trifecta in government right now that's getting a lot done and is fairly popular with the voters. So Trump's best hope, I think, is to flip just GA and PA and land on exactly 270 (or 271 if he can flip a Nebraska district, certainly possible). 

All Biden has to do to prevent this is hold onto either GA or PA. If he holds one and keeps his other states from 2020, Trump has no path. So just looking at the EC map as it stands now, Biden has an advantage. That's not to say Trump *can't* win - the EC is what makes it possible after all. There's zero chance Trump wins the popular vote. Again, he just needs to squeak by in 2-3 states and that's the game. But it's still going to be an uphill battle for him.",21,2023-09-23 15:18:16
k1vauws,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Same in California.,21,2023-09-23 16:09:52
k1vm6ze,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","If a Republican President is elected… Project 2025. They’ve got a plan that is ready to implement in the first 180 days. Fascist, dystopian stuff. 

https://www.salon.com/2023/09/07/plans-to-become-a-dictator--denial-will-not-save-you/",21,2023-09-23 17:21:18
k1wfipc,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",People don’t seem to understand the value of Charisma. It only comes along a few times in a generation when the right person finds themself in the right place at the right time. Store brand z trumps aren’t going to have the same appeal.,21,2023-09-23 20:25:34
k1vhssn,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","1. The problem isn’t just MAGA. Very few Republicans are MAGA NUTS. Trump support is mostly normal Republicans falling in line. Conservatives will always fall in line and not squabble amongst themselves like liberals and leftists because the whole point of reactionary ideology is hierarchy. After Trump they’ll support whomever comes next. 

2. I actually agree that most conservatives are old and dying off. But, they don’t need a majority. All they have to do is win once in the next few decades. They are planning and have largely facilitated what is necessary for minority rule in this country. They just need control of the institutions necessary to isolate the levers of power from the democratic mechanisms in this country for a little bit and that’s it.

So, I want to reiterate again, this problem will most likely not be solved by voting.",21,2023-09-23 16:53:44
k1w97ai,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I hope so. Trump won’t anoint an heir and there won’t be another “successful” businessman who marries models, bangs porn stars, sits on golden toilets and can come up with zingers like Meatball Ron (admittedly, pretty funny). His off the cuff statements are usually gibberish and it’s getting worse, but makes him relatable enough in a way that normal politicians with prepared statements can’t duplicate. Biden can also speak without seeming scripted (“Will you shut up, Man?”).",20,2023-09-23 19:45:41
k1wzkiy,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",The overconfidence and the presumption of good faith is done.,20,2023-09-23 22:35:48
k1wmoq0,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Sad thing is, over 30% of the country support him at his worst. But the amount of Republicans who would even begrudgingly vote for any GOP is closer to 50%.

GOP will vote for him just because he is GOP. Same as they would any GOP candidate. But Dems are no different. We will vote Blue no matter who is running. 

I would never say GOP are the minority, especially a tiny minority. The country is pretty evenly divided.",20,2023-09-23 21:09:54
k1wokxl,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Either way what they are trying to do to the voters there is terrible!,20,2023-09-23 21:22:09
k1wa7x1,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",He shouldn’t be allowed on the ballot as a seditionist. Remove him and let the right throw their tantrum.,19,2023-09-23 19:51:54
k1vmi2l,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Thank you. Voting is really important, but it's only one day. There's a lot more to do. And if you don't have time to volunteer, donate to a volunteer organization. To paraphrase Howard Zinn, democracy requires direct action.",19,2023-09-23 17:23:11
k1y2l98,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Yeah, Biden got millions more votes but because of the Electoral College, he got 10k more in Arizona, Georgia and 20k more in Wisconsin. If those 40k total in 3 states voted for Trump instead, he would've won re-election.",19,2023-09-24 03:27:43
k1vb8xw,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I was just thinking of something I read about the 1930's Germany: ""Why People Flocked to the N Party: 1. Anxiety about the current economic and social order. 2. Belief in their superiority over others. 3. Nation as a savior outlook. 4. Racial hatred, religious bigotry, and fear of ""degenerates"". 5. Lust for neighbors' wealth and social status. 6. ""Magical thinking"" about the future. 7. Effective, dehumanizing propaganda. 8. Beguiling leadership.""  Today's political theorists (left, right, middle) have all read the same book and it's a disease that can infect any society.",18,2023-09-23 16:12:22
k1v1az6,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Be vigilant, sure. But while it absolutely is possible I can’t stress enough how much less probable it is in 2024 than in 2020 or 2016. Vote like your life depends on it, but he’s probably going to lose",18,2023-09-23 15:08:32
k1v8hwu,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Trump’s base is slowly dwindling though. Deaths from Covid/other causes and also the more moderate (and less insane ones) are probably not a fan of his 4 indictments so they’re more likely to probably sit out the vote. Ideally it’d be cool if they went Dem though.,18,2023-09-23 15:54:51
k1x8dt3,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","The GOP party, at least, has 2/3rds as many people as the Democratic party.

Gerrymandering and effective turnout rates are why they can sometimes win, not because they have 50% of the people.",18,2023-09-23 23:38:45
k1v2cim,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","As a mathematician, I think it's important that we all understand the concept of ""expected value"".

Despite the fact that his win is unlikely (say, 10%) the harm that would be caused by it would be substantial (yes, he does want to do away with American democracy).

In math, when you don't know the final outcome, you multiply the probabilities by their value to get an approximation of the current situation.

So yes, 10% is a small number.  But 10% chance of the end of American democracy is a fucking HORRIBLE position to be in right now.

I feel like most Americans are waiting to see how bad it will get.  It is very very very bad **NOW**.",17,2023-09-23 15:15:24
k1vf5ra,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","It also fails to mention another thing: cheating.

I remember so well my reaction when I saw the news with this FBI headline about Hillary Clinton just days before the election. These findings by Russian hackers. My thoughts were: uh oh, that may shift the balance...

Make no mistake that he is again very active in trying to find any type of way of pulling that under Bidens feet by any means possible. You think Hunter Biden is it? I say it's possibly just the tip of the iceberg.",17,2023-09-23 16:37:09
k1v8mbg,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",The special elections do tell a lot about voting trends. The negative publicity for Republican policies is quite a bit stronger than for Democrat policies.,17,2023-09-23 15:55:38
k1v39kz,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","The media likes close races, more clicks. 

That's why they're all ignoring special election results, even though they've been more predictive than polls since ""the death of polling"" in 2016. 

MAGAs will never read your site again if you post ""Is GOP doomed? Democrats over-performing specials like its 2018""",17,2023-09-23 15:21:24
k1vuu89,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","This is possible, but I doubt it because Trump is very unique as an individual and you can’t replicate him, there’s something very specific about his personality, and how he communicates that really pulls people in, you cannot transfer that onto another person, and expect it to survive. 

Look at Don Jr he’s trying to trying to mimic his fathers, mannerisms, way of speaking, but he just can’t make a clone of it. 

Trump is also a tool of others, they play to his vanity and take advantage of that to get what they want and Trump blindly believes it’s genuine. Putin and Kim Jong-un give a rats ass about Trump. They want what he can provide for them.",17,2023-09-23 18:15:35
k1wf5v8,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","It is outrageous the whole country does not do this.  Voting, country wide, should be almost mandatory.",17,2023-09-23 20:23:21
k1vft7s,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",[Look at how slick and “normal” they want to make this seem—it’s a fucking disease](https://www.project2025.org).,16,2023-09-23 16:41:13
k1w7n94,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I think a lot of people forget that Hitler didn't arise in a vacuum.  1930's Germany was hit hard by the Great Depression; it was absolutely ripe for a hostile takeover by a charming candidate with simple solutions to complex problems.

It's not a coincidence that Trump tends to be most popular in poorer areas.",16,2023-09-23 19:36:02
k1w338t,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","The other thing, he actually is a celebrity kind of from reality TV. So you’d need to not only have a clinical level of narcissism and shamelessness, but also be a tv or movie star or something. Pretty hard to replicate. Perhaps it’s not enough to simply be a piece of shit, you need that pop culture status as well",16,2023-09-23 19:07:27
k1vhp1n,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",https://vote.gov/,15,2023-09-23 16:53:06
k1w2bkw,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I'll check my reading list for the diaries, but one I just finished was ""Through Hell for Hitler"" by Henry Metelmann. It touches on the post-war period, especially the soldier's journey through American & British POW camps. (he fought in Russia and was thrilled to be an American POW.) It covers his journey from being a brainwashed Hitler youth to slowly realizing the truth.

There's a YouTube channel that takes diaries, books, and other first-hand accounts, and processes them with a very good AI voice. It's interesting listening.  I don't know if this sub allows URLs, so I'll just give you the channel name: WorldWar2Stories",15,2023-09-23 19:02:34
k1veaqu,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Yeah and we’re one recession away from trump winning,15,2023-09-23 16:31:45
k1vp5rd,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Of course he did. He's from WV, which is ruby red Trump country.",15,2023-09-23 17:39:49
k1vh1wh,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",">Trump himself, he is nearly 80 and rather famously does not take care of his health, so I can't imagine he lives that much longer.  The conservative attempt to create Trumpism without Trump, meanwhile, is for the most part failing.

I wonder if this is mostly due to the fact that they're trying to replace Trump while Trump is still around and running for office, so most ""Trumpism without Trump"" candidates are ""anti-Trump"" in some significant sense.  I wonder if these efforts might find more success after Trump is gone (whether in prison, dead, or just no longer pursuing politics).",15,2023-09-23 16:49:07
k1vc635,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Donate food and water to campaign offices for volunteers and campaign workers.,14,2023-09-23 16:18:14
k1w3iw9,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","You can cut off the hydra head that is Fox but another is going to take its place. Fox exists because Murdoch realized the right just wants to hear what it wants to hear, vs actual news, and there’s a lot of money to be made giving it to them.",14,2023-09-23 19:10:12
k1vuvou,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Plenty of someones.  Look at his supporters.  There are many still in the House and the Senate who still believe the election was fixed, that are so divorced from reality and their personal religious beliefs, they have forgotten their oaths of office.  This coming election cycle is crucial to maintain a democracy.  trump has no desire to lead, he wants control, and those maga fools are going to be in for a rude awakening when they find out trump is all about taking, not giving rights.  He will violate the law, violate the constitution, do anything he can to ensure he's the very last elected potus.  So many people here will be immigrating elsewhere, even the wealthy will rue an election win.  They won't be able to fill all the job openings they will have.  No one will be left to do their dirty work. It will be up to them to pay their own bills, and all the freedoms they once had?  Those will be gone.  When they claim everyone wants to take their guns and void their ballots, it's more deflection, because that's what a trump administration is going to do.  If you think his campaign is dysfunctional, just wait until he gets back in the WH. He can never be allowed anywhere near the WH again if we are to maintain democracy.",14,2023-09-23 18:15:51
k1w5ytv,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",You’re probably aware of Operation Paperclip then. A huge number of Nazi doctors and scientists who worked at the concentration camps immigrated to America and were never charged with any crime. They got senior positions in government bodies. America did this so those same scientists didn’t go to the USSR.,14,2023-09-23 19:25:34
k1ve496,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Imagine being indicted on almost 100 counts of crimes and still being one election away from the Presidency. Wild ass shit.,14,2023-09-23 16:30:36
k1v54ta,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",[deleted],14,2023-09-23 15:33:28
k1wav93,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Don't forget, in your jammies",14,2023-09-23 19:55:54
k1xz87q,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",[removed],13,2023-09-24 02:59:27
k1v8d62,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","For those of you not familiar with Business Insider, it’s the Newsmax of “business” websites. Be very skeptical of anything they publish.",13,2023-09-23 15:54:01
k1vaagl,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",We won't just roll over.,13,2023-09-23 16:06:13
k1vfwi2,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Aside from Fascism, I worry about his environmental policies. It will be drill baby drill until we don’t have a planet left. I don’t want to be baked meatloaf.",13,2023-09-23 16:41:49
k1w5st6,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",CNN wasn't exactly leftist to begin with either.,13,2023-09-23 19:24:31
k1vsoa8,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Democracy is a relatively new phenom so, as reporters say A LOT, it's being seriously tested right now. Other countries are watching US to see if democracy will prevail. Honestly right now I don't even know what to casually predict with the future of the US. I'm scared but also stumped on whether to be optimistic or not.",13,2023-09-23 18:02:03
k1wl4go,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","“Hitler's Circle of Evil"" and ""How to become a Tyrant"" both available on Netflix.  The parallels are incredible.",13,2023-09-23 21:00:08
k1vx0ah,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Shows how pathetic this country has become.,12,2023-09-23 18:29:03
k1vtfo6,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","And with the GOP ratfu*king state election laws, they are setting up future elections to be unilaterally changed by GOP supermajority legislatures or toady secretaries of state. When they complained about a rig election it was projection of what they want to do.",12,2023-09-23 18:06:48
k1w4csw,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Not normal or appropriate in my opinion. Daily updates on running the nation don’t seem like a good or productive use of the POTUSs time and energy. Maybe weekly, maybe bi-monthly, but certainly not daily. Things just don’t move fast enough for there to be that much to say on a daily basis barring any new developments or circumstances",12,2023-09-23 19:15:30
k1vbuvu,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",They’ve gotten half the votes a single time in my lifetime.  I’m 34.,12,2023-09-23 16:16:16
k1uz40h,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",This is the well informed and well reasoned thing people need to be hearing.,11,2023-09-23 14:53:49
k1vl41d,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Biden is boring and their ratings reflect that. 

Trump gets eyeballs. That’s all they care about.",11,2023-09-23 17:14:32
k1vcg5i,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",I’ll look into some of the available options now. I’ll take the option of volunteering as tribute.,11,2023-09-23 16:20:00
k1x9sbk,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","> I can't for the life of me see why Biden is so unpopular

It's inflation, pure and simple: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/this-week-in-bidenomics-the-presidents-unpopularity-explained-163912728.html",11,2023-09-23 23:49:02
k1vzpp4,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Michigan makes me really happy.,11,2023-09-23 18:46:01
k1ygfyf,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","I’ll tell my mom stuff that Trump has done and she’ll ask me what my news sources are. Okay. I’ll say someone his ex cabinet or a study. She’ll tell me they are biased or how that person has been discredited. Anything I tell her she will say, we’ll you thought the Russia dossier was true and it’s been disproved. It’s part of her identity. Here is a retired teacher, union member, who is on Medicare who votes against her own interests because Fox News tells her to.",11,2023-09-24 05:43:33
k1w0zoz,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","If he does, we can kiss our kids future bye-bye.",10,2023-09-23 18:54:07
k1vx47x,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","He should be in prison by now! If anyone else tried to overthrow the government, they would be in prison",10,2023-09-23 18:29:45
k1vbzom,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Nobody likes to talk about dishonor being one of the critical principles this country was founded on, but this is precisely why we are in this position. Because we are an inherently dishonorable people with dishonorable roots.

We were founded by groups of disenfranchised rule breakers who stole land, enslaved humans, and made shystery deals to aquire a land with vast natural resources that could be exploited for a couple hundred years until this crucial principle grew to unsustainable levels.

Along the way we were fooled into thinking we were the honorable ones, but there was always that undeniable fact that the whole thing was a charade and any true believer was just a sucker who deserved to be fleeced.

Of course we were taken down from the inside with dishonor. It's in our blood and it's who we are",10,2023-09-23 16:17:07
k1vbsbr,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","My take on the polling/special election disconnect is that people may want an alternative... just not an alternative of neo-nazis or creeps looking to turn women into  vessels for man-seed.

If it's Trump and a clown car of fashy fucks and gas prices are lower (it's dumb, but that's a huge vote metric), Biden rolls.

Vote-vote-vote everybody, naturally.",10,2023-09-23 16:15:49
k1v0dpj,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election","Also, not many polls account for the electoral college. They poll and give results in terms of popular vote. I just don't get it.",10,2023-09-23 15:02:22
k1vubw9,16q5sqi,"Make no mistake, it's absolutely possible Trump wins the 2024 election",Any books or resources you'd recommend? Sounds interesting and would like to learn about this period. Thanks.,10,2023-09-23 18:12:22