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arXiv:1001.0043v2 [astro-ph.EP] 13 Jan 2010Strong Constraints to the Putative Planet Candidate around VB 10 using |
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Doppler spectroscopy1 |
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Guillem Anglada-Escud´ e |
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Department of Terrestrial Magnetism, Carnegie Institution o f Washington |
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5241 Broad Branch Road, NW, Washington, DC 20015 USA |
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anglada@dtm.ciw.edu |
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Evgenya Shkolnik |
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Department of Terrestrial Magnetism, Carnegie Institution o f Washington |
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5241 Broad Branch Road, NW, Washington, DC 20015 USA |
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shkolnik@dtm.ciw.edu |
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Alycia J. Weinberger |
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Department of Terrestrial Magnetism, Carnegie Institution o f Washington |
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5241 Broad Branch Road, NW, Washington, DC 20015 USA |
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weinberger@dtm.ciw.edu |
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Ian B. Thompson |
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The Observatories of the Carnegie Institution of Washington |
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813 Santa Barbara Street, Pasadena, CA 91101 USA |
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ian@obs.carnegiescience.edu |
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David J. Osip |
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Las Campanas Observatory, Carnegie Institution of Washington |
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Colina El Pino Casilla 601, La Serena, Chile |
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dosip@lco.cl |
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John H. Debes |
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Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA Postdoctoral Program |
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8463 Greenbelt Rd, Greenbelt, MD 20770, USA |
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john.H.debes@nasa.gov |
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ABSTRACT– 2 – |
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We present new radial velocity measurements of the ultra-co ol dwarf VB 10, |
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which was recently announced to host a giant planet detected with astrometry. The |
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new observations were obtained using optical spectrograph s(MIKE/Magellan and ES- |
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PaDOnS/CHFT) and cover a 63% of the reported period of 270 day s. We apply Least- |
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squares periodograms to identify the most significant signa ls and evaluate their corre- |
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spondingFalse Alarm Probabilities. We show that this metho d is the proper generaliza- |
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tion to astrometric data because (1) it mitigates the coupli ng of the orbital parameters |
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with the parallax and proper motion, and (2) it permits a dire ct generalization to |
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include non-linear Keplerian parameters in a combined fit to astrometry and radial ve- |
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locity data. In fact, our analysis of the astrometry alone un covers the reported 270 d |
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period and an even stronger signal at ∼50 days. We estimate the uncertainties in the |
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parameters using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach. The no minal precision of the |
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new Doppler measurements is about 150 s−1while their standard deviation is 250 ms−1. |
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However, the best fit solutions still have RMS of 200 ms−1indicating that the excess |
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in variability is due to uncontrolled systematic errors rat her than the candidate com- |
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panions detected in the astrometry. Although the new data al one cannot rule-out the |
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presence of a candidate, when combined with published radia l velocity measurements, |
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the False Alarm Probabilities of the best solutions grow to u nacceptable levels strongly |
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suggesting that the observed astrometric wobble is not due t o an unseen companion. |
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Subject headings: astrometry, methods: statistical, stars: individual (VB 1 0), tech- |
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niques: radial velocities |
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1. Introduction |
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Pravdo & Shaklan (2009) recently announced the discovery of an astrometric companion to |
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VB 10, an ultra-cool dwarf with a mass of ≈0.08 M ⊙. From a Keplerian fit to the motion, they |
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determined a mass of 6 M Jand a period of 270 d. Thus VB 10 became the lowest mass star |
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known to harbor a planetary companion. The mass ratio betwee n VB 10 and its companion, ∼13, |
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also is intriguing. A similar mass ratio for a Solar-type sta r would make the companion a brown |
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dwarf, but brown dwarfs as small separation companions to st ars are quite rare. VB 10 is itself the |
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secondary in a wide binary with V1428 Aql, a M2.5 star (van Bie sbroeck 1961). At a distance of |
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1Based on observations collected with the 6.5 meter Magellan Telescopes located at Las Campanas Observatory, |
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Chile, at the W. M. Keck Observatory and the Canada-France-H awaii Telescope (CFHT). The Keck Observatory is |
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operated as a scientific partnership between the California Institute of Technology, the University of California, and |
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NASA, and was made possible by the generous financial support of the W. M. Keck Foundation. CFHT is operated |
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by the National Research Council of Canada, the Institut Nat ional des Sciences de l’Univers of the Centre National |
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de la Recherche Scientique of France, and the University of H awaii.– 3 – |
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5.8 pc from the Sun, the 74′′separation of this proper motion binary corresponds to a pro jected |
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separation of 430 AU. |
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Such low-mass stars have not been the target of intensive pre cision radial velocity (PRV) |
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monitoring because they have low visual fluxes and high stell ar activity. For example, the dedicated |
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HARPS M-dwarf planet search observes stars2only brighter than V=14 and of moderate to low |
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activity levels (Bonfils et al. 2007). VB 10 has V mag = 17.3 and is known to be a flare star |
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(Berger et al. 2008). PRV and lensing planet searches have so far found only 13 stars under 0.5 |
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M⊙hosting 18 planets, and of these, more than half have masses b elow 0.1 M J. |
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Despite the challenges, searches for planetary companions to low mass stars are of continuing |
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interest. Low-mass stars appear less likely to have lower ma ss stellar companions and less likely to |
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harbor planets than Solar-mass stars (Cumming et al. 2008). When they do have companions, they |
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tend to be stars of nearly equal mass to the primary (Burgasse r et al. 2007). The mass function of |
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planets orbiting M dwarfs, and how it differs from the planet ma ss function for higher-mass stars, |
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provides a constraint on the planet formation mechanism(s) in general. Disks sufficiently massive |
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to form Jupiter-mass planets appear to be rare around brown d warfs, whose disks generally look |
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like lower mass versions of T Tauri disks (Scholz et al. 2006) . High mass companions would have |
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to form via a binary-like fragmentation mechanism (e.g. Fon t-Ribera et al. 2009). Thus how a 6 |
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MJplanet could form around an ∼80 MJstar and how common such high-mass ratio companions |
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remain important questions (Boss et al. 2009). |
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The reported planet’s astrometric orbit predicts a radial v elocity (RV) amplitude of at least 1 |
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km s−1for a circular orbit and up to several km s−1for an eccentric orbit. This magnitude signal is |
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detectable with ordinary RV measurements without requirin g the adoption of precision techniques |
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such as an iodine cell or simultaneous thorium reference. |
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Although several RV measurements of VB 10 exist in the litera ture before 2009, it is difficult |
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to combine the historical RVs (see list in Table 4 of Pravdo & S haklan (2009)), as each observation |
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used different calibration techniques and/or RV standards th at introduce zero-point offsets and the |
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typical uncertainties are also large ( ∼1.5 km s−1). The most precise measurements in the literature |
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were recently published by Zapatero Osorio et al. (2009) (he reafter Z09), but provide only a “hint |
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of variability.” These data did little to constrain the orbi tal parameters of the planet beyond what |
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the astrometry had already done (Anglada-Escud´ e et al. 200 9). |
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Here, we present a more precise set of RV observations over 17 5 days (or 65% of the reported |
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orbital period). We also present general techniques for joi nt fitting of astrometric and RV data and |
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show how they can be used to constrain the orbit of the candida te planet. |
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2http://www.eso.org/sci/observing/proposals/77/gto/h arps/3.txt– 4 – |
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2. New Data |
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We acquired spectra at 7 epochs in 2009 with the MIKE spectrog raph at the Magellan Clay |
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telescope at Las CampanasObservatory(Chile). We usedthe0 .35′′andthe0.5′′slits whichproduce |
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a spectral resolution of ≈45,000 and 35,000, respectively, across the 4900 – 10000 ˚A range of the |
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red chip. The seeing was in the range from 0 .5 to 1.1′′. These data were reduced using the facility |
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pipeline (Kelson 2003). |
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We also have in hand a single spectrum of VB 10 taken in 2006 usi ng the HIRES (Vogt et al. |
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1994)) on the Keck I 10-m telescope. We used the 0.861′′slit to obtain a spectral resolution of |
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λ/∆λ≈58,000 at λ∼7000˚A. We used the GG475 order-blocking filter and the red cross-di sperser |
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to maximize throughput in the red orders. |
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To increase the phase coverage, an additional spectrum was o btained using the ESPaDOnS on |
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the CFHT 3.6-m telescope. ESPaDOnS is fiber fed from the Casse grain to Coud´ e focus where the |
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fiber image is projected onto a Bowen-Walraven slicer at the s pectrograph entrance. ESPaDOnS’ |
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‘star+sky’ mode records the full spectrum over 40 grating or ders covering 3700 to 10400 ˚A at |
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a spectral resolution of λ/∆λ≈68,000. The data were reduced using Libre Esprit described in |
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Donati et al. (1997, 2007). |
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Each stellar exposure is bias-subtracted and flat-fielded fo r pixel-to-pixel sensitivity variations. |
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After optimal extraction, the 1-D spectra are wavelength ca librated with a thorium-argon arc. To |
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correct for instrumental drifts, we used the telluric molec ular oxygen A band (from 7620 – 7660 |
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˚A) which aligns the MIKE spectra to 40 m s−1, after which we corrected for the heliocentric |
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velocity. Consistency tests with the bluer Oxygen band show s comparable values but with larger |
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measurement error. |
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The final spectra are of moderate S/N reaching ≈25 per pixel at 8000 ˚A. Each night, spectra |
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were also taken of a M-dwarf RV standard, namely GJ 699 (Barna rd’s star; SpT = M4V) and/or |
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GJ 908 (SpT = M1V). |
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To measure VB 10’s RV, we cross-correlated each of 9 orders be tween 7000 and 9000 ˚A (ex- |
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cluding those with strong telluric absorption) where VB 10 e mits most of its optical light, with the |
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spectrumofGJ699 and/orGJ908taken onthesamenight usingI RAF’s1fxcorroutine(Fitzpatrick |
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1993). Both GJ 699 and GJ 908 have been monitored for planets f or years and none has been found |
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within the RV stability level of 0.1 km s−1. Here we use the systemic RVs published by a planet- |
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search team (Nidever et al. 2002): RV(GJ 699) = –110.506 km s−1and RV(GJ 908) = –71.147 |
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km s−1. The zero-point of the absolute RVs is uncertain at the 0.4 km s−1level. We measured |
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the RVs from the gaussian peak fitted to the cross-correlatio n function (CCF) of each order and |
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adopt the average RV of all orders with a mean standard deviat ion of the individual measurements |
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of 0.150 km s−1. The average of all our measurements is 36.02 km s−1with a standard deviation |
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1IRAF (Image Reduction and Analysis Facility), http://iraf .noao.edu/– 5 – |
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of 0.25 km s−1. An observing log with the measured RVs and uncertainties fo r VB 10 is shown in |
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Table 1. |
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3. Data Analysis: Combining Astrometry and Radial Velocities |
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In this section, we reanalyze the original astrometric data to calculate the likelihood of astro- |
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metrically allowed solutions, and then combine the astrome try and RV data sets in a consistent |
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framework to quantify how the new RV measurements constrain the possibleorbits of the candidate |
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signals observed in the astrometry of VB 10b. |
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3.1. Least-squares periodograms |
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The most popular method to look for periodicities in data is t he so-called Lomb-Scargle |
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periodogram. A version adapted to deal with astrometric two -dimensional data developed by |
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Catanzarite et al. (2006) (Joint Lomb Scargle periodogram) was implemented in the discovery pa- |
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per of VB 10b (Pravdo & Shaklan 2009). Any method based on the L omb-Scargle periodogram |
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performs optimally only under an important implicit assump tion: all other signals (e.g. linear |
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trend, an average offset, etc.) can be subtracted from the data without affecting the significance of |
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the signal under investigation. This assumption does not ho ld for astrometry because the proper |
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motion and the parallax are also a significant part of the sign al and they typically correlate with |
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the periodic motion of a planet (see Black & Scargle 1982). |
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We use instead a Least-squares periodogram. The weighted Le ast-squares solution is obtained |
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by fitting all the free parameters in the model for a given peri od. The sum of the weighted residuals |
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divided by Nis the so-called χ2statistic. Then, each χ2 |
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Pof a given model with kPparameters, can |
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be compared to the χ2 |
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0of the null hypothesis with k0free parameters by computing the power, z, |
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as |
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z(P) =(χ2 |
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0−χ2 |
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P)/(kP−k0) |
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χ2 |
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P/(Nobs−kP)(1) |
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where a large zis interpreted as a very significant solution. The values of zfollow a Fisher F- |
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distribution with kP−k0andNobs−kPdegrees of freedom (Scargle 1982; Cumming 2004). Even |
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if only noise is present, a periodogram will contain several peaks (see Scargle 1982, as an example) |
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whoseexistencehavetobeconsideredinobtainingtheproba bilityofaspuriousdetection. Assuming |
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Gaussian noise, the probability that a peak in the periodogr am has a power higher than z(P) by |
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chance is the so-called False Alarm Probability (FAP) : |
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FAP = 1 −(1−Prob[z > z(P)])M(2) |
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whereMis the number of independent frequencies. In the case of unev en sampling, Mcan be quite |
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large and is roughly the number of periodogram peaks one coul d expect from a data set with only– 6 – |
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Gaussian noise and thesame cadence as thereal observations . We adopt the recipe M≈2∆T/Pmin |
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given in Cumming (2004, Sec 2.2), where ∆ Tis the time-span of the observations and Pminis the |
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minimum period searched. One still has to select Pminarbitrarily. Assuming a Pmin= 20 days, the |
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astrometric data alone has M∼300, and the combination of astrometry and RVs has M∼360. |
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In our particular problem, the null hypothesis is the basic k inematic model with k0= 6 param- |
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eters: 2 coordinates, 2 proper motions, parallax and system ic RV. As a first approach, our simplest |
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non-null hypothesis considers circular orbits, astrometr ic data only and one RV measurement. For |
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a given period, the number of free parameters is then kP= 10: the 6 kinematic ones plus the four |
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Thiele Innes elements A,B,FandG(e.g. Wright & Howard 2009). Since the model is linear in all |
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10 parameters, the power can be efficiently computed for many p eriods between 20 days and 4000 |
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days to obtain a familiar representation of the periodogram that we call a Circular Least-squares |
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Periodogram (CLP). The CLP of the astrometric data, shown at top in Figure 1, displays two |
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obvious peaks: the reported one at 270 days (Pravdo & Shaklan 2009) and a more significant one |
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at 49.9 days, both with high power and very low FAPs. |
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To find the full Keplerian solution for both periods and estim ate their FAPs, we perform a |
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Least-squares periodogram sampling a grid of fixed eccentri city-period (eP) pairs and fitting all |
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other parameters. For each eP pair kPis 11: the null-hypothesis ( X0,Y0,µX,µY,πandv0) |
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plus all the other Keplerian elements: Mass of the planet, Ω, ω,i, and the Mean anomaly at the |
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initial epoch M0(see Wright & Howard 2009, for a recent review). We analyze bo thastrometry |
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onlyandastrometry+RVs . Theχ2of the best fit solution is then used to obtain each FAP as |
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previously described. Figure 1 shows the resulting color-c oded FAPs for each eccentricity–period |
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pair (eP-map). |
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3.1.1. Astrometry only |
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A value of M= 300 has been used to obtain the FAP, and our result at 270 d qua litatively |
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agrees with Pravdo & Shaklan (2009), however the more signifi cant period is at ∼50 d. For both |
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periods, there are regions with FAP <1% spanning all possible eccentricities (second row in Fig- |
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ure 1). The best fits and their χ2per degree of freedom (¯ χ2) are summarized in Table 2. The |
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obtained results for the 270 d period are in agreement with th ose reported in the discovery paper |
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by Pravdo & Shaklan (2009). The best fit solution for the 50 d pe riod has mass ∼15 MJ, which |
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would be a very low mass brown dwarf. It is important to point o ut that the best fit inclination is |
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close to 90 (edge on) for both solutions. The uncertainties o n the orbital parameters are quantified |
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in Sec 3.2.– 7 – |
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3.1.2. Astrometry+RVs |
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We now fit jointly for the best orbital solution to the astrome try and RVs. Our campaign |
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covered about 65% of the 270 d orbit. The standard deviation o f all our RVs measurements is |
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250 m s−1(null hypothesis) which is larger than the individual uncer tainties in Table 4. When we |
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cross-correlate our standards, we measure a similar RMS of 2 00 m s−1, which indicates that the |
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difference is due to an uncontrolled or unmeasured systematic . The RMS of the RVs for the best |
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fit solution is 200 m s−1, which is not statistically different from the RMS of the null h ypothesis. |
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This is another indication that our measurements contain sy stematic errors at the level of 100 −200 |
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m/s. Despite of that, we use the nominal errors in the Least-s quares solution as the best estimates |
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for the individual uncertainties we can provide. In Figure 2 , we show the best solutions to both |
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signals including all the data. |
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For the 270 d period, our RV non detection cannot exclude a small region of orbital solutions |
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arounde∼0.8 with a FAP between 1%–5% – see Figure 1, third row right panel . We now add |
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the RVs measurements by Z09 and solve for a joint solution. A z ero-point offset between datasets |
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is added as an additional free parameter. The combined RV mea surements force the eccentricity |
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to large values which apparently still provides a reasonabl e fit to the astrometry (see top panels in |
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Figure 2). However, the FAPs are now all higher than 10% (Figu re 1, bottom right panel), which |
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indicates that the signal can be barely distinguished from t he noise fluctuations. The “hint” of |
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detection in Z09 based on one discrepant value at 3 .1−σout of five can be due to random errors |
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with a non negligible probability. |
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For the 50 d period, there are still several orbits that provi de a decent fit to the combined |
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astrometry and the new RV data with a FAP lower than 1%. These o ccupy a small space around |
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the best joint solution, with e= 0.90 (see Figure 1, 3rd row, left panel) and an inclination clos e |
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to 0. Large eccentricity causes the duration of fast RV varia tion to be very short (and difficult to |
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catch); an inclination close to 0 tends to suppress any RVs si gnal. Such inclination is in apparent |
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contradiction with the one obtained using the astrometry al one (∼90 deg). The reason is the |
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following: while the new fit to the astrometry forced by the RV s is much worse than the one |
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obtained from the astrometry alone, such a solution still re presents an improvement compared to |
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the null hypothesis. Adding Z09 data to the fit increases the F AP of the most likely solution to 2%, |
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an eccentricity of 0 .91 and the inclination close to 0 (see Table 2). This suggests that the signal at |
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50 d is also spurious, even though it has slightly better chan ces of survival than the one at 270 d. |
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3.2.A Posteriori Probability Distributions |
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We adapt the method developed by Ford (2005, 2006) to assess u ncertainties in orbit determi- |
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nations by obtaining the a posteriori probability distribution for the parameters using a Markov |
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Chain with a Gibbs sampler strategy. Our problem is identica l to the one described by Ford (2005), |
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where now the χ2contains both RV and astrometric observations and the model has a few more– 8 – |
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free parameters. Several properly adjusted MCMC with 106steps have been computed obtaining |
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compatible results. The step sizes of the Gibbs sampler are i nitialized with the formal errors from |
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the best fit Least-squares solution, and adjusted to obtain a transition probability between 10% |
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and 20%. The first 105steps of each chain are rejected. The final distributions mat ch very well the |
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areas of low FAPs in the eP-maps (see Figure 3 as an example) gi ving further proof that the chains |
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have converged to the equilibrium distributions. The MCMC c ontains 13 free parameters – the 11 |
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from the Least-squares periodogram plus eccentricity and p eriod. When the RVs measurements |
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from Z09 are included, and additional offset parameter is incl uded. |
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Table 2 presents the standard deviations obtained via the MC MC for both the 50 d and 270 d |
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periods using astrometry alone and astrometry + all RV data. As an example, we show the two |
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dimensional density of states in period-eccentricity spac e in Figure 3 (left) obtained in both cases |
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aroundthe 270 d signal. Themarginalized distributionsfor ein theform of histograms are shownin |
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Figure 3 (right). For the astrometry-alone case, the distri bution of eis almost uniform. It becomes |
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strongly peaked towards high eccentricities when all the RV data are included. Since the best fit |
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solution at 270 d is poor (¯ χ2= 1.76), the corresponding χ2minimum is not very deep which is |
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reflected in a significant increase in the derived uncertaint ies (See Table 2). The same happens to |
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the signal at 50 d with the exception of the inclination that h as a small uncertainty (4 deg) close |
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to 0. Even though this solution has a low FAP, the inclination has to be coincidentally very small |
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to suppress any RV signal and very different from using astrome try only (94 deg), rasing serious |
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doubts of its reality. |
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4. Discussion and Conclusions |
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The non-detection of a significant RV variation in our data se t already discards most orbital |
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configurations allowed by the astrometry. When combined wit h Z09 RVs measurements, there are |
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no remaining solutions with a FAP lower than 10% around the 27 0 d period, so the presence of |
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a planet candidate at that period is not supported by the obse rvations. For the 50 d period, the |
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constraints arealso strongandbecome almost definitive whe ntheZ09data is included. Even highly |
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eccentric solutions have a relatively large FAP ( >2%). We find that particular combinations of |
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eccentricity, inclination and ωcan fit an almost flat RV curve indicating that the analytic met hods |
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applied to estimate FAPs for high eccentricities tend to giv e over optimistic results and that this |
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issue should be studied in more detail. |
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We have developed and implemented useful tools for detailed analysis of combined astrometric |
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and RV data: Circular Least-squares periodogram as the prop er generalization of the classic Lomb- |
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Scargle periodogram to deal with astrometric data, eP-maps to visualize the most likely period– |
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eccentricity combinations and a Bayesian characterizatio n of the parameter uncertainties based on |
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a MCMC approach. |
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VB 10 is also part of the Carnegie Astrometric Planet Search p rogram (Boss et al. 2009). RV– 9 – |
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measurements with precision techniques in the near-infrar ed (Bean et al. 2009) may provide the |
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required accuracy to put even stronger limits to the existen ce of VB10b or find other planets in the |
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system. VB 10 will certainly be observed by the space astrome try mission Gaia (Perryman et al. |
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2001), which would be capable of finding a planet with a period of 270 d and as small as 0 .2 MJ. |
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This preprint was prepared with the AAS L ATEX macros v5.2.– 11 – |
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Table 1. Log of RVs |
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Telescope UT Date HJD Slit Width RV (w/ GJ 699)aRV (w/ GJ 908)a |
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+Instrument –2450000′′km s−1km s−1 |
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Keck I + HIRES 2006 Aug 12 3959.57 0.86 – 35.59 ±0.15 |
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Clay+MIKE 2009 Jun 06 4988.74 0.35 36.23 ±0.13 35.99 ±0.15 |
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Clay+MIKE 2009 Jun 07 4989.82 0.50 36.22 ±0.13 36.09 ±0.20 |
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Clay+MIKE 2009 Jun 08 4990.75 0.50 36.15 ±0.12 36.10 ±0.22 |
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Clay+MIKE 2009 Jun 30 5012.72 0.35 35.72 ±0.11 – |
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Clay+MIKE 2009 Jul 25 5037.66 0.50 35.96 ±0.11 36.03 ±0.11 |
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Clay+MIKE 2009 Sep 04 5078.58 0.50 35.96 ±0.09 36.37 ±0.24 |
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Clay+MIKE 2009 Oct 15 5119.54 0.50 36.30 ±0.14 36.41 ±0.13 |
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Clay+MIKE 2009 Oct 26 5130.51 0.50 36.41 ±0.16 36.27 ±0.18 |
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CFHT+ESPaDOnS 2009 Nov 29 5164.69 –b– 35.74 ±0.20 |
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aUncertainties are the standard deviation of the 9 orders of t he cross correlation and do not include the 40 |
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m s−1systematic uncertainty from the telluric wavelength corre ction. Absolute radial velocity determination |
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has an uncertainty of 0 .4 km/s but it is not relevant for orbital fitting purposes. |
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bESPaDOnS is a fiber fed spectrograph with an effective resolut ion of R ∼68000 in the wavelength range |
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of interest |
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Table 2. Best fitting valuesa. Uncertainties obtained from a MCMC with 106steps. |
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Parameter Astrometry 50 d Astrometry 270 d Astro+ all RV 50 d A stro+ all RV 270 d |
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X0(mas) -16.6 ±1.6 -14.1d±3.2 -21.15±2.3 -17.9 ±4.7 |
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Y0(mas) -408.0 ±1.9 -406.1d±3.5 409.52±2.8 -410.5 ±5.51 |
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µR.A.(mas/yr) -588.98 ±0.25 -589.08 ±0.25 -588.66±0.29 -589.21 ±0.26 |
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µDec(mas/yr) -1360.95 ±0.25 -1361.08 ±0.24 -1361.02 ±0.25 -1361.36 ±0.20 |
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π(mas) 168.3 ±1.51 169.5 ±1.4 169.95±1.37 169.24 ±1.30 |
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v0(km/s) 35.2 ±1.4 35.4d±1.050 36.06±0.11 36.05 ±0.08 |
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voffset(km/s) - - 1.5±0.42 1.5 ±0.36 |
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P(days) 49.7 ±0.5 272.1 ±4.1 49.84±0.11 278.5 ±2.7 |
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Mass(MJ) 17.5 ±4.4 7.1 ±2.7 13.7±6.4 5.0 ±2.9 |
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e 0.22c±0.30 0.48c±0.31 0.91±0.13 0.90 ±0.16 |
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i(deg) 93 ±5 90 ±15 4±5 110c±50 |
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Ω(deg) 40 ±20 220 ±25 13c±100 40c±66 |
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ω(deg) 20 ±40 30c±80 122c±60 17c±90 |
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M0(deg) 270 ±0 170c±108 340c±70 156c±80 |
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a(AU)d0.12 0.36 0.12 0.36 |
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¯χ2 |
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02.28 2.28 2.75 2.75 |
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¯χ20.87 0.93 1.62 1.76 |
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aThe mass of VB 10 is assumed to be 0 .078 M ⊙according to Pravdo & Shaklan (2009) |
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bLarge uncertainty due to correlation with the eccentricity |
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cUnconstrained or poorly constrained |
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dDerived quantity using Kepler equations– 12 – |
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Fig. 1.— Top panel. Circular Least-squares periodogramshowingthe two most si gnificant periods |
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with their corresponding False Alarm Probabilities (FAP). Second row. FAPs obtained for a grid |
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of Eccentricity–Period pairs around the 50 d (left) and the 2 70 d (right) when only astrometry is |
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considered. Third row. FAPs obtained when our new RV are included to the fit. Bottom row. |
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Final FAPs obtained when all published RV data are combined i n a joint fit.– 13 – |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 |
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Phase-4-20246810R.A.(mas) |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1-4-20246810 |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 |
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Phase-4-20246810 Dec (mas) |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1-4-20246810 |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 |
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Phase-4-20246810R.A.(mas) |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1-4-20246810 |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 |
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Phase-4-20246810 Dec (mas) |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1-4-20246810 |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 |
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Phase32333435363738RV (km/s) |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 132333435363738 |
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0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 |
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Phase32333435363738 |
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MIKE |
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HIRES |
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CFHT |
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NIRSPEC Z09P = 49.84 days P = 278.5 days |
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Fig. 2.— The best fit (lowest χ2) joint solutions to the Pravdo & Shaklan (2009) astrometry a nd |
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used RVs for the two signals. Top panels contain the astromet ric offsets after the removal of the |
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corresponding parallax and the proper motion. The lower pan els contain all RVs used. Each RV |
|
point represents the weighted average of the values obtaine d using both reference stars if available. |
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The best fit offset has been applied to Z09 data (Green triangles ). Phase 0 corresponds to the first |
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astrometric epoch at JD 2451438 .64 and the corresponding folding periods are given on the top . |
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Fig. 3.— Left: Steps in period-eccentricity space of a Marko v Chain of 106elements applied to the |
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astrometry only (black) and to the astrometry+all RV data (b rown). The distribution resembles |
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the FAP contours on the eP-maps around 270 days indicating th at the chain has successfully |
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converged to the equilibrium distribution. Right: Histogr am reproducing the marginalized density |
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distributions in efor the astrometry only and astrometry+RV around the 270 d so lution. |