claim: This requires us to work towards avoiding catastrophic possibilities rather than looking at probabilities, as learning from mistakes is not an option when it comes to existential risks.
evidences.evidence_id: Futures studies:183
evidences.article: Futures studies
evidences.evidence: "Wild cards" refer to low-probability and high-impact events, such as existential risks.
evidences.votes: NOT_ENOUGH_INFO SUPPORTS
evidences.evidence_id: Human extinction:69
evidences.article: Human extinction
evidences.evidence: Nick Bostrom argues that it would be "misguided" to assume that the probability of near-term extinction is less than 25% and that it will be "a tall order" for the human race to "get our precautions sufficiently right the first time", given that an existential risk provides no opportunity to learn from failure.
evidences.votes: SUPPORTS SUPPORTS
evidences.evidence_id: Nick Bostrom:75
evidences.article: Nick Bostrom
evidences.evidence: This principle states that we ought to retard the development of dangerous technologies, particularly ones that raise the level of existential risk, and accelerate the development of beneficial technologies, particularly those that protect against the existential risks posed by nature or by other technologies.
evidences.votes: SUPPORTS SUPPORTS
evidences.evidence_id: Risk:248
evidences.article: Risk
evidences.evidence: Measurement of uncertainty: A set of probabilities assigned to a set of possibilities.
evidences.votes: NOT_ENOUGH_INFO NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
evidences.evidence_id: Risk:256
evidences.article: Risk
evidences.evidence: The measure of uncertainty refers only to the probabilities assigned to outcomes, while the measure of risk requires both probabilities for outcomes and losses quantified for outcomes.
evidences.votes: NOT_ENOUGH_INFO SUPPORTS