claim: Their ECS estimate is 1.5 degrees, with a probability range between 1.05 and 2.45 degrees.
evidences.evidence_id: Climate sensitivity:21
evidences.article: Climate sensitivity
evidences.evidence: As estimated by the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), "there is high confidence that ECS is extremely unlikely less than 1°C and medium confidence that the ECS is likely between 1.5°C and 4.5°C and very unlikely greater than 6°C".
evidences.votes: REFUTES REFUTES
evidences.evidence_id: Climate sensitivity:27
evidences.article: Climate sensitivity
evidences.evidence: The IPCC literature assessment estimates that TCR likely lies between 1 °C and 2.5 °C.
evidences.votes: REFUTES SUPPORTS
evidences.evidence_id: Climate sensitivity:72
evidences.article: Climate sensitivity
evidences.evidence: IPCC authors concluded ECS is very likely to be greater than 1.5 °C (2.7 °F) and likely to lie in the range 2 to 4.5 °C (4 to 8.1 °F), with a most likely value of about 3 °C (5 °F).
evidences.votes: REFUTES REFUTES
evidences.evidence_id: Climate sensitivity:74
evidences.article: Climate sensitivity
evidences.evidence: The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report reverted to the earlier range of 1.5 to 4.5 °C (2.7 to 8.1 °F) (high confidence) because some estimates using industrial-age data came out low.
evidences.votes: REFUTES REFUTES
evidences.evidence_id: Climate sensitivity:75
evidences.article: Climate sensitivity
evidences.evidence: They also stated that ECS is extremely unlikely to be less than 1 °C (1.8 °F) (high confidence), and is very unlikely to be greater than 6 °C (11 °F) (medium confidence).
evidences.votes: REFUTES REFUTES