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| yes_ask
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values | created_time
timestamp[us, tz=UTC]date 2021-06-30 13:46:45
2026-01-26 04:12:51
| open_time
timestamp[us, tz=UTC]date 2021-06-30 14:00:00
2026-11-30 15:00:00
| close_time
timestamp[us, tz=UTC]date 2021-07-01 23:00:00
2099-08-01 04:59:00
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CPI-21JUN-T0.6
|
CPI-21JUN
|
binary
|
Will the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase more than 0.6%?
|
Above 0.6%
|
0.6% or below
|
finalized
| 16
| 22
| 78
| 84
| 21
| 4,129
| 0
| 2,467
|
yes
| 2021-06-30T13:46:45.154000
| 2021-06-30T14:00:00
| 2021-07-12T23:00:00
|
TRDDEFCN-21MAY-T30
|
TRDDEFCN-21MAY
|
binary
|
Will the US trade deficit in goods with China be above $30 billion?
|
Above $30 billion
|
$30 billion or below
|
finalized
| 49
| 100
| 0
| 51
| 57
| 1,754
| 0
| 1,752
|
no
| 2021-06-30T13:48:20.283000
| 2021-06-30T14:00:00
| 2021-07-01T23:00:00
|
GDP-21JUN30-T6.0
|
GDP-21JUN30
|
binary
|
Will real GDP increase by more than 6%?
|
Above 6%
|
6% or below
|
finalized
| 88
| 90
| 10
| 12
| 88
| 7,271
| 0
| 4,953
|
yes
| 2021-06-30T13:49:44.013000
| 2021-06-30T14:00:00
| 2021-07-28T23:00:00
|
HOME-21JUN-T750
|
HOME-21JUN
|
binary
|
Will new U.S. home sales be above 750,000?
|
Above 750,000
|
750,000 or below
|
finalized
| 58
| 61
| 39
| 42
| 61
| 3,952
| 0
| 2,259
|
no
| 2021-06-30T13:49:48.639000
| 2021-06-30T14:00:00
| 2021-07-25T23:00:00
|
TEMP-21-T2.124
|
TEMP-21
|
binary
|
Will 2021 be the **hottest year on record**?
|
Above 2.124° C
|
2.124° C or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 125,156
| 0
| 55,052
|
no
| 2021-07-02T13:52:26.206000
| 2021-07-02T14:00:00
| 2022-01-10T00:00:00
|
FED-21JUL-T0.25
|
FED-21JUL
|
binary
|
Will the target federal funds rate be above 0.25%?
|
Above 0.25%
|
0.25% or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 2
| 98
| 100
| 1
| 8,679
| 0
| 4,366
|
no
| 2021-07-02T13:53:50.426000
| 2021-07-02T14:00:00
| 2021-07-26T23:00:00
|
TRDDEFCN-21JUN-T27
|
TRDDEFCN-21JUN
|
binary
|
Will the US trade deficit in goods with China for June be above $27 billion?
|
Above $27 billion
|
$27 billion or below
|
finalized
| 72
| 78
| 22
| 28
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
|
yes
| 2021-07-02T13:53:54.976000
| 2021-07-02T14:00:00
| 2021-09-01T23:00:00
|
CO2-21APR-T365
|
CO2-21APR-T36
|
binary
|
Will the estimated US carbon dioxide emissions for April exceed 365 million metric tons?
|
Above 365 million metric tons
|
365 million metric tons or below
|
finalized
| 49
| 52
| 48
| 51
| 50
| 3,604
| 0
| 3,010
|
yes
| 2021-07-02T13:54:00.420000
| 2021-07-02T14:00:00
| 2021-07-26T23:00:00
|
TRDDEFCN-21JUN-T28
|
TRDDEFCN-21JUN2
|
binary
|
Will the US trade deficit in goods with China for June be above $28 billion?
|
Above $28 billion
|
$28 billion or below
|
finalized
| 42
| 44
| 56
| 58
| 43
| 639
| 0
| 435
|
no
| 2021-07-02T19:18:53.806000
| 2021-07-02T19:30:00
| 2021-08-04T23:00:00
|
SLOAN-21SEP30
|
SLOAN
|
binary
|
Will federal student loan forbearance be extended?
|
By Sep 30, 2021
|
Not extended By Sep 30, 2021
|
finalized
| 98
| 100
| 0
| 2
| 98
| 55,232
| 0
| 15,511
|
yes
| 2021-07-03T13:52:30.816000
| 2021-07-03T14:00:00
| 2021-09-29T23:00:00
|
U3-21JUL-T5.7
|
U3-21JUL
|
binary
|
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) in July be above 5.7%?
|
Above 5.7%
|
5.7% or below
|
finalized
| 53
| 55
| 45
| 47
| 53
| 5,708
| 0
| 3,648
|
no
| 2021-07-03T13:53:08.684000
| 2021-07-03T14:00:00
| 2021-08-05T23:00:00
|
VAXX-21JUL11-T183
|
VAXX-21JUL11
|
binary
|
Will over 183,750,000 Americans be vaccinated for COVID-19 by July 11?
|
Above 183,700,000
|
183,700,000 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 19,400
| 0
| 9,308
|
yes
| 2021-07-07T13:40:54.285000
| 2021-07-07T14:00:00
| 2021-07-10T23:00:00
|
OLYMCANCEL-22
|
OLYMCANCEL-22
|
binary
|
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled?
|
Occurred as scheduled
|
Canceled
|
finalized
| 1
| 2
| 98
| 99
| 1
| 25,333
| 0
| 16,878
|
no
| 2021-07-07T13:41:18.496000
| 2021-07-07T14:00:00
| 2021-07-22T23:00:00
|
TURKEU-22JUN29
|
TURKEU
|
binary
|
Will **Turkey join the European Union** by June 29, 2022?
|
Joins the EU By June 29, 2022
|
Remains outside the EU By June 29, 2022
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 14,797
| 0
| 11,168
|
no
| 2021-07-08T13:31:47.604000
| 2021-07-08T14:00:00
| 2022-06-28T23:00:00
|
DINENYC-22JAN01
|
DINENYC
|
binary
|
Will New York City **close indoor dining**?
|
Imposed By Jan 1, 2022
|
Not imposed By Jan 1, 2022
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 63,939
| 0
| 24,700
|
no
| 2021-07-08T13:32:09.264000
| 2021-07-08T14:00:00
| 2022-01-01T00:00:00
|
HAPPIER-21AUG05-T718
|
ALBHAPPIER-21AUG05
|
binary
|
Will Billie Eilish’s “Happier Than Ever” album have at least twice the debut week consumption of “When We All Fall Asleep”?
|
Above 718,920
|
718,920 or below
|
finalized
| 2
| 4
| 96
| 98
| 2
| 17,006
| 0
| 5,573
|
no
| 2021-07-09T12:45:48.853000
| 2021-07-09T14:00:00
| 2021-08-05T23:00:00
|
VAXX-21JUL19-T185
|
VAXX-21JUL19
|
binary
|
Will more Americans get vaccinated for COVID-19 this week than last week?
|
Above 185,265,124
|
185,265,124 or below
|
finalized
| 98
| 100
| 0
| 2
| 98
| 2,675
| 0
| 1,990
|
yes
| 2021-07-12T13:52:08.821000
| 2021-07-12T14:00:00
| 2021-07-17T23:00:00
|
VAXX-21JUL18-T187
|
VAXX-21JUL18
|
binary
|
Will over 187 million Americans be vaccinated for COVID-19 by July 18?
|
Above 187,000,000
|
187,000,000 or below
|
finalized
| 2
| 3
| 97
| 98
| 2
| 4,245
| 0
| 2,771
|
no
| 2021-07-12T22:53:00.652000
| 2021-07-12T23:00:00
| 2021-07-17T23:00:00
|
MTA-21JUL18-A2.00
|
MTA-21JUL18
|
binary
|
Will more people ride the subway in New York City on average this week than last week?
|
Above 2,007,179
|
2,007,179 or below
|
finalized
| 97
| 98
| 2
| 3
| 98
| 2,461
| 0
| 1,611
|
yes
| 2021-07-13T13:40:51.752000
| 2021-07-13T14:00:00
| 2021-07-18T23:00:00
|
TSAW-21JUL17-A2.041
|
TSAW-21JUL17
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA on average this week than last week?
|
Above 2,041,682
|
2,041,682 or below
|
finalized
| 81
| 85
| 15
| 19
| 85
| 12,708
| 0
| 5,854
|
yes
| 2021-07-13T13:41:33.440000
| 2021-07-13T14:00:00
| 2021-07-18T23:00:00
|
CPI-21JUL-T0.7
|
CPI-21JUL
|
binary
|
Will the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase by more than 0.7% in July?
|
Above 0.7%
|
0.7% or below
|
finalized
| 38
| 40
| 60
| 62
| 39
| 22,562
| 0
| 9,448
|
no
| 2021-07-13T20:49:15.199000
| 2021-07-13T21:00:00
| 2021-08-10T23:00:00
|
JOBLESS-21JUL17-C350
|
JOBLESS-21JUL17
|
binary
|
Will initial jobless claims be higher than 350,000 for the week ending July 17?
|
Above 350,000
|
350,000 or below
|
finalized
| 44
| 46
| 54
| 56
| 46
| 1,558
| 0
| 749
|
yes
| 2021-07-15T13:59:31.211000
| 2021-07-15T14:00:00
| 2021-07-21T23:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL17-T90
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL1
|
binary
|
Will the high temperature in New York City be over 90° on Saturday?
|
Above 90°
|
90° or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 4,691
| 0
| 1,076
|
yes
| 2021-07-16T13:43:19.066000
| 2021-07-16T14:00:00
| 2021-07-18T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL18-T83
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL18
|
binary
|
Will the high temperature in New York City be over 83° on Sunday?
|
Above 83°
|
83° or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 4,055
| 0
| 1,041
|
yes
| 2021-07-17T06:29:17.363000
| 2021-07-17T14:00:00
| 2021-07-19T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL19-T82
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL19
|
binary
|
Will the high temperature in New York City be over 82° on Monday?
|
Above 82°
|
82° or below
|
finalized
| 1
| 2
| 98
| 99
| 2
| 9,184
| 0
| 2,556
|
no
| 2021-07-18T13:20:31.967000
| 2021-07-18T14:00:00
| 2021-07-20T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL20-T89
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL20
|
binary
|
Will the high temperature in New York City be over 89° on Tuesday?
|
Above 89°
|
89° or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 5,338
| 0
| 3,152
|
no
| 2021-07-19T13:31:47.120000
| 2021-07-19T14:00:00
| 2021-07-21T00:00:00
|
TSAW-21JUL24-A2.055
|
TSAW-21JUL24
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA on average this week than last week?
|
Above 2,055,206
|
2,055,206 or below
|
finalized
| 6
| 7
| 93
| 94
| 6
| 9,161
| 0
| 1,557
|
no
| 2021-07-19T17:59:40.098000
| 2021-07-19T18:00:00
| 2021-07-25T23:00:00
|
VAXX-21JUL26-T187
|
VAXX-21JUL26
|
binary
|
Will more Americans get vaccinated for COVID-19 this week than last week?
|
Above 187,944,234
|
187,944,234 or below
|
finalized
| 98
| 99
| 1
| 2
| 99
| 11,624
| 0
| 5,572
|
yes
| 2021-07-19T17:59:48.065000
| 2021-07-19T18:00:00
| 2021-07-26T15:00:00
|
MTA-21JUL25-A2.20
|
MTA-21JUL25
|
binary
|
Will more people ride the subway in New York City on average this week than last week?
|
Above 2,207,341
|
2,207,341 or below
|
finalized
| 59
| 62
| 38
| 41
| 60
| 1,843
| 0
| 836
|
yes
| 2021-07-19T21:56:09.880000
| 2021-07-19T22:00:00
| 2021-07-25T23:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL20-T1.832
|
TSA-21JUL20
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Tuesday than last Tuesday?
|
Above 1,832,878
|
1,832,878 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 2,096
| 0
| 1,753
|
yes
| 2021-07-20T13:04:47.753000
| 2021-07-20T14:00:00
| 2021-07-21T20:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL21-T88
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL21
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 88° on Wednesday?
|
Above 88°
|
88° or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 2
| 98
| 100
| 1
| 1,648
| 0
| 606
|
no
| 2021-07-20T13:04:51.903000
| 2021-07-20T14:00:00
| 2021-07-22T00:00:00
|
CRED-21JUN30-T800
|
CRED-21JUN30
|
binary
|
Will total US credit card debt in Q2 be above 800 billion dollars?
|
Above $800 billion
|
$800 billion or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 8,305
| 0
| 3,300
|
no
| 2021-07-21T03:40:39.637000
| 2021-07-21T14:00:00
| 2021-08-04T01:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL22-T85
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL22
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 85° on Thursday?
|
Above 85°
|
85° or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 2,670
| 0
| 295
|
no
| 2021-07-21T03:47:26.852000
| 2021-07-21T14:00:00
| 2021-07-23T00:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL21-T1.900
|
TSA-21JUL21
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Wednesday than last Wednesday?
|
Above 1,900,945
|
1,900,945 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 724
| 0
| 697
|
yes
| 2021-07-21T03:48:24.360000
| 2021-07-21T14:00:00
| 2021-07-22T20:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL22-T82
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL22
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 82° on Thursday?
|
Above 82°
|
82° or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 5,782
| 0
| 1,890
|
no
| 2021-07-21T18:50:42.938000
| 2021-07-21T19:00:00
| 2021-07-23T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL23-T84
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL23
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 84° on Friday?
|
Above 84°
|
84° or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 1,380
| 0
| 177
|
no
| 2021-07-22T13:32:28.757000
| 2021-07-22T14:00:00
| 2021-07-24T00:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL22-T2.152
|
TSA-21JUL22
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Thursday than last Thursday?
|
Above 2,152,053
|
2,152,053 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 3,337
| 0
| 2,610
|
no
| 2021-07-22T13:33:27.244000
| 2021-07-22T14:00:00
| 2021-07-23T20:00:00
|
JOBLESS-21JUL24-C380
|
JOBLESS-21JUL24
|
binary
|
Will initial jobless claims be higher than 380,000 for the week ending July 24?
|
Above 380,000
|
380,000 or below
|
finalized
| 67
| 69
| 31
| 33
| 68
| 1,209
| 0
| 918
|
yes
| 2021-07-22T16:54:05.909000
| 2021-07-22T17:00:00
| 2021-07-28T23:00:00
|
FRM-21JUL29-T2.80
|
FRM-21JUL29
|
binary
|
Will the 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage rate be above 2.80%?
|
Above 2.80%%
|
2.80%% or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 2,004
| 0
| 1,241
|
no
| 2021-07-22T16:54:47.274000
| 2021-07-22T17:00:00
| 2021-07-29T19:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL23-T2.199
|
TSA-21JUL23
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Friday than last Friday?
|
Above 2,199,815
|
2,199,815 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 24
| 1,666
| 0
| 1,646
|
no
| 2021-07-23T13:30:51.503000
| 2021-07-23T14:00:00
| 2021-07-24T20:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL24-T81
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL24
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 81° on Saturday?
|
Above 81°
|
81° or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 2,916
| 0
| 603
|
yes
| 2021-07-23T13:31:46.518000
| 2021-07-23T14:00:00
| 2021-07-25T00:00:00
|
CASED-21JUL24-T65
|
CASED-21JUL24
|
binary
|
Will there be over 65,000 new COVID-19 cases on Friday?
|
Above 65,000
|
65,000 or below
|
finalized
| 2
| 50
| 50
| 98
| 2
| 19,138
| 0
| 7,122
|
no
| 2021-07-23T14:36:26.035000
| 2021-07-23T15:00:00
| 2021-07-25T00:00:00
|
KANYE-21JUL29-T269
|
KANYE-21JUL29
|
binary
|
Will the first week consumption of Kanye’s “Donda” album outperform “Jesus is King”?
|
Above 269,301
|
269,301 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 2
| 15,300
| 0
| 9,288
|
no
| 2021-07-23T14:43:28.479000
| 2021-07-23T15:00:00
| 2021-07-31T02:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL24-T1.979
|
TSA-21JUL24
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Saturday than last Saturday?
|
Above 1,979,981
|
1,979,981 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 1,124
| 0
| 154
|
no
| 2021-07-24T13:53:17.698000
| 2021-07-24T14:00:00
| 2021-07-25T20:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL25-T84
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL25
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 84° on Sunday?
|
Above 84°
|
84° or below
|
finalized
| 1
| 3
| 97
| 99
| 1
| 1,548
| 0
| 841
|
no
| 2021-07-24T13:54:08.278000
| 2021-07-24T14:00:00
| 2021-07-26T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL26-T89
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL26
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 89° on Monday?
|
Above 89°
|
89° or below
|
finalized
| 1
| 2
| 98
| 99
| 1
| 5,377
| 0
| 2,647
|
no
| 2021-07-25T13:55:16.568000
| 2021-07-25T14:00:00
| 2021-07-27T00:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL25-T2.277
|
TSA-21JUL25
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Sunday than last Sunday?
|
Above 2,277,704
|
2,277,704 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 770
| 0
| 522
|
no
| 2021-07-25T13:56:25.021000
| 2021-07-25T14:00:00
| 2021-07-26T20:00:00
|
CASED-21JUL26-T80
|
CASED-21JUL26
|
binary
|
Will there be over 80,000 new COVID-19 cases on Sunday?
|
Above 80,000
|
80,000 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 6,478
| 0
| 4,869
|
no
| 2021-07-25T20:44:16.111000
| 2021-07-25T20:45:00
| 2021-07-27T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL27-T91
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL27
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 91° on Tuesday?
|
Above 91°
|
91° or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 6,116
| 0
| 1,604
|
no
| 2021-07-26T13:39:35.281000
| 2021-07-26T14:00:00
| 2021-07-28T00:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL26-T2.141
|
TSA-21JUL26
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Monday than last Monday?
|
Above 2,141,429
|
2,141,429 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 2,296
| 0
| 1,285
|
no
| 2021-07-26T13:40:08.690000
| 2021-07-26T14:00:00
| 2021-07-27T20:00:00
|
CORPTAX-21-T21
|
CORPTAX-21
|
binary
|
Will the **corporate tax rate** be raised above 21% by the end of 2021?
|
Above 21%
|
21% or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 101,987
| 0
| 22,260
|
no
| 2021-07-26T16:48:17.592000
| 2021-07-26T17:00:00
| 2022-01-01T01:00:00
|
TSAW-21JUL31-A2.046
|
TSAW-21JUL31
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA on average this week than last week?
|
Above 2,046,997
|
2,046,997 or below
|
finalized
| 97
| 98
| 2
| 3
| 98
| 4,046
| 0
| 1,226
|
yes
| 2021-07-26T18:42:22.390000
| 2021-07-26T18:50:00
| 2021-08-01T23:00:00
|
VAXX-21AUG02-T190
|
VAXX-21AUG02
|
binary
|
Will more Americans get vaccinated for COVID-19 this week than last week?
|
Above 190,905,875
|
190,905,875 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 7,265
| 0
| 2,716
|
yes
| 2021-07-26T19:23:49.861000
| 2021-07-26T19:30:00
| 2021-08-02T00:00:00
|
MTA-21AUG01-A2.23
|
MTA-21AUG01
|
binary
|
Will more people ride the subway in New York City on average this week than last week?
|
Above 2,236,028
|
2,236,028 or below
|
finalized
| 23
| 26
| 74
| 77
| 26
| 1,675
| 0
| 320
|
no
| 2021-07-26T20:39:29.238000
| 2021-07-26T21:00:00
| 2021-08-01T23:00:00
|
HOME-21JUL-T690
|
HOME-21JUL
|
binary
|
Will new U.S. home sales be above 690,000 in July?
|
Above 690,000
|
690,000 or below
|
finalized
| 58
| 60
| 40
| 42
| 58
| 7,029
| 515
| 4,001
|
yes
| 2021-07-26T21:56:06.867000
| 2021-07-26T22:00:00
| 2021-08-23T23:00:00
|
CASED-21JUL27-T30
|
CASED-21JUL27
|
binary
|
Will over 30,000 new COVID-19 cases be reported for Monday?
|
Above 30,000
|
30,000 or below
|
finalized
| 98
| 100
| 0
| 2
| 99
| 4,790
| 0
| 1,906
|
yes
| 2021-07-26T21:57:36.435000
| 2021-07-26T22:00:00
| 2021-07-28T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL28-T88
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL28
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 88° on Wednesday?
|
Above 88°
|
88° or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 178
| 0
| 152
|
no
| 2021-07-27T13:52:09.638000
| 2021-07-27T14:00:00
| 2021-07-29T00:00:00
|
CO2-21MAY-T385
|
CO2-21MAY-T38
|
binary
|
Will the estimated US carbon emissions for May be over 385 million metric tons?
|
Above 385 million metric tons
|
385 million metric tons or below
|
finalized
| 1
| 3
| 97
| 99
| 2
| 9,723
| 0
| 5,973
|
no
| 2021-07-27T17:16:50.392000
| 2021-07-27T17:30:00
| 2021-08-25T23:00:00
|
CASED-21JUL28-T60
|
CASED-21JUL28
|
binary
|
Will over 60,000 new COVID-19 cases be reported for Tuesday?
|
Above 60,000
|
60,000 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 5,415
| 0
| 4,602
|
yes
| 2021-07-27T21:05:26.345000
| 2021-07-27T21:15:00
| 2021-07-29T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL29-T74
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL29
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 74° on Thursday?
|
Above 74°
|
74° or below
|
finalized
| 98
| 100
| 0
| 2
| 99
| 2,974
| 0
| 740
|
yes
| 2021-07-28T13:40:37.526000
| 2021-07-28T14:00:00
| 2021-07-30T00:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL28-T1.934
|
TSA-21JUL28
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Wednesday than last Wednesday?
|
Above 1,934,918
|
1,934,918 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 711
| 0
| 502
|
no
| 2021-07-28T13:49:01.640000
| 2021-07-28T14:00:00
| 2021-07-29T20:00:00
|
ITAXH-21
|
ITAXH-21
|
binary
|
Will **income taxes** on the highest income bracket increase by the end of 2021?
|
Becomes law
|
Fails to become law
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 156,972
| 0
| 34,792
|
no
| 2021-07-28T14:49:33.001000
| 2021-07-28T15:00:00
| 2022-01-01T01:00:00
|
CASED-21JUL29-T95
|
CASED-21JUL29
|
binary
|
Will over 95,000 new COVID-19 cases be reported on Wednesday?
|
Above 95,000
|
95,000 or below
|
finalized
| 1
| 2
| 98
| 99
| 2
| 9,067
| 0
| 2,772
|
no
| 2021-07-28T19:50:06.776000
| 2021-07-28T20:00:00
| 2021-07-30T00:00:00
|
FED-21SEP-T0.25
|
FED-21SEP
|
binary
|
Will the target federal funds rate be above 0.25%?
|
Above 0.25%
|
0.25% or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 3,226
| 0
| 2,452
|
no
| 2021-07-29T13:48:27.365000
| 2021-07-29T14:00:00
| 2021-09-20T23:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL29-T2.101
|
TSA-21JUL29
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Thursday than last Thursday?
|
Above 2,101,343
|
2,101,343 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 1,239
| 0
| 808
|
yes
| 2021-07-29T13:50:03.326000
| 2021-07-29T14:00:00
| 2021-07-30T20:00:00
|
JOBLESS-21JUL31-C380
|
JOBLESS-21JUL31
|
binary
|
Will initial jobless claims be higher than 380,000 for the week ending July 31?
|
Above 380,000
|
380,000 or below
|
finalized
| 53
| 56
| 44
| 47
| 55
| 1,619
| 0
| 880
|
yes
| 2021-07-29T16:44:39.080000
| 2021-07-29T17:30:00
| 2021-08-04T23:00:00
|
FRM-21AUG05-T2.82
|
FRM-21AUG05
|
binary
|
Will the 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage rate be above 2.82%?
|
Above 2.82%%
|
2.82%% or below
|
finalized
| 16
| 19
| 81
| 84
| 17
| 3,795
| 0
| 3,115
|
no
| 2021-07-29T16:45:08.015000
| 2021-07-29T17:00:00
| 2021-08-05T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL30-T80
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL30
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 80° on Friday?
|
Above 80°
|
80° or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 12,906
| 0
| 5,537
|
yes
| 2021-07-29T16:45:20.052000
| 2021-07-29T17:00:00
| 2021-07-31T00:00:00
|
CASED-21JUL30-T93
|
CASED-21JUL30
|
binary
|
Will over 93,000 new COVID-19 cases be reported for Thursday?
|
Above 93,000
|
93,000 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 11,039
| 0
| 2,713
|
no
| 2021-07-29T18:36:17.830000
| 2021-07-29T19:00:00
| 2021-07-31T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL31-T76
|
HIGHNY0-21JUL31
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 76° on Saturday?
|
Above 76°
|
76° or below
|
finalized
| 15
| 99
| 1
| 85
| 15
| 10,018
| 0
| 5,147
|
no
| 2021-07-30T13:57:24.889000
| 2021-07-30T14:00:00
| 2021-08-01T00:00:00
|
GAS-21AUG02-A3.11
|
GAS-21AUG02
|
binary
|
Will average gas prices be over $3.11?
|
Above $$3.11
|
$$3.11 or below
|
finalized
| 95
| 97
| 3
| 5
| 95
| 5,256
| 0
| 4,321
|
yes
| 2021-07-30T13:57:34.524000
| 2021-07-30T18:00:00
| 2021-08-02T21:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL30-T2.159
|
TSA-21JUL30
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Friday than last Friday?
|
Above 2,159,300
|
2,159,300 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 511
| 0
| 320
|
yes
| 2021-07-30T13:59:39.460000
| 2021-07-30T14:00:00
| 2021-07-31T20:00:00
|
INFRA-21AUG10
|
INFRA
|
binary
|
Will the Senate pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill before August 10?
|
Passes the Senate Before Aug 10
|
Fails to pass the Senate Before Aug 10
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 115,000
| 0
| 23,526
|
no
| 2021-07-30T15:54:25.272000
| 2021-07-30T16:00:00
| 2021-08-13T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG01-T75
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG01
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 75° on Sunday?
|
Above 75°
|
75° or below
|
finalized
| 98
| 100
| 0
| 2
| 99
| 7,421
| 0
| 1,885
|
yes
| 2021-07-31T13:57:12.936000
| 2021-07-31T14:00:00
| 2021-08-02T00:00:00
|
TSA-21JUL31-T1.942
|
TSA-21JUL31
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Saturday than last Saturday?
|
Above 1,942,877
|
1,942,877 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 964
| 0
| 234
|
yes
| 2021-07-31T13:59:10.958000
| 2021-07-31T14:00:00
| 2021-08-01T20:00:00
|
MASKMAND-21AUG03
|
MASKMAND
|
binary
|
Will New York City reinstate an indoor mask mandate?
|
Imposed By Aug 3, 2021
|
Not imposed By Aug 3, 2021
|
finalized
| 1
| 2
| 98
| 99
| 1
| 6,678
| 0
| 2,921
|
no
| 2021-07-31T14:24:49.535000
| 2021-07-31T14:25:00
| 2021-08-02T15:00:00
|
RAINNY-21AUG01-T0
|
RAINNY-21AUG01
|
binary
|
Will it rain in New York City on Sunday?
|
Above 0in
|
0in or below
|
finalized
| 15
| 65
| 35
| 85
| 61
| 8,724
| 0
| 938
|
yes
| 2021-07-31T14:44:09.287000
| 2021-07-31T14:45:00
| 2021-08-02T03:30:00
|
RAINNY-21AUG02-T0
|
RAINNY-21AUG02
|
binary
|
Will it rain in New York City on Monday?
|
Above 0in
|
0in or below
|
finalized
| 1
| 2
| 98
| 99
| 1
| 2,194
| 0
| 739
|
no
| 2021-08-01T14:58:21.810000
| 2021-08-01T15:00:00
| 2021-08-03T03:30:00
|
TSA-21AUG01-T2.177
|
TSA-21AUG01
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Sunday than last Sunday?
|
Above 2,177,129
|
2,177,129 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 98
| 210
| 0
| 210
|
yes
| 2021-08-01T15:00:07.484000
| 2021-08-01T15:00:00
| 2021-08-02T20:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG02-T80
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG02
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 80° on Monday?
|
Above 80°
|
80° or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 4,008
| 0
| 1,168
|
no
| 2021-08-01T15:03:49.581000
| 2021-08-01T15:05:00
| 2021-08-03T00:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG03-T78
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG03
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 78° on Tuesday?
|
Above 78°
|
78° or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 6,322
| 0
| 1,947
|
yes
| 2021-08-02T13:43:14.272000
| 2021-08-02T14:00:00
| 2021-08-04T00:00:00
|
TSA-21AUG02-T2.124
|
TSA-21AUG02
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Monday than last Monday?
|
Above 2,124,474
|
2,124,474 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 1,932
| 0
| 1,490
|
no
| 2021-08-02T13:43:34.288000
| 2021-08-02T14:00:00
| 2021-08-03T20:00:00
|
TSAW-21AUG07-A2.068
|
TSAW-21AUG07
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA on average this week than last week?
|
Above 2,068,411
|
2,068,411 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 2
| 98
| 100
| 1
| 9,417
| 0
| 353
|
no
| 2021-08-02T15:57:29.748000
| 2021-08-02T16:00:00
| 2021-08-08T23:00:00
|
CASED-21AUG03-T110
|
CASED-21AUG03
|
binary
|
Will over 110,000 new COVID-19 cases be reported on Monday?
|
Above 110,000
|
110,000 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 12,166
| 0
| 7,441
|
no
| 2021-08-02T16:55:18.922000
| 2021-08-02T17:30:00
| 2021-08-04T00:00:00
|
VAXX-21NOV01-T225
|
VAXX-21NOV01
|
binary
|
Will over 225 million Americans be vaccinated for COVID-19 by November 1?
|
Above 225,000,000
|
225,000,000 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 2
| 98
| 100
| 1
| 119,332
| 0
| 16,751
|
no
| 2021-08-02T20:12:02.912000
| 2021-08-02T20:25:00
| 2021-11-01T00:00:00
|
CPI-21OCT-T0.5
|
CPI-21OCT
|
binary
|
Will the Consumer Price Index rise more than 0.5% in October?
|
Above 0.5%
|
0.5% or below
|
finalized
| 39
| 45
| 55
| 61
| 46
| 33,756
| 3,040
| 11,631
|
yes
| 2021-08-02T20:22:08.557000
| 2021-08-02T20:30:00
| 2021-11-10T00:00:00
|
VAXX-21AUG09-T194
|
VAXX-21AUG09
|
binary
|
Will more Americans get vaccinated for COVID-19 this week than last week?
|
Above 194,525,778
|
194,525,778 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 98
| 16,763
| 0
| 8,872
|
yes
| 2021-08-02T21:36:08.870000
| 2021-08-02T21:45:00
| 2021-08-09T00:00:00
|
MTA-21AUG08-A2.21
|
MTA-21AUG08
|
binary
|
Will more people ride the subway in New York City on average this week than last week?
|
Above 2,219,499
|
2,219,499 or below
|
finalized
| 13
| 14
| 86
| 87
| 14
| 8,806
| 0
| 3,311
|
no
| 2021-08-02T21:58:34.554000
| 2021-08-02T22:10:00
| 2021-08-08T23:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG04-T76
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG04
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 76° on Wednesday?
|
Above 76°
|
76° or below
|
finalized
| 2
| 4
| 96
| 98
| 2
| 12,086
| 0
| 2,504
|
no
| 2021-08-03T13:53:23.914000
| 2021-08-03T14:00:00
| 2021-08-05T00:00:00
|
TSA-21AUG03-T1.858
|
TSA-21AUG03
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Tuesday than last Tuesday?
|
Above 1,858,328
|
1,858,328 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 100
| 0
| 100
| 1
| 1,083
| 0
| 539
|
no
| 2021-08-03T13:55:27.559000
| 2021-08-03T14:00:00
| 2021-08-04T20:00:00
|
DONDA-21AUG06-T0
|
DONDA-21AUG06
|
binary
|
Will Kanye drop Donda by Friday?
|
Above 0
|
0 or below
|
finalized
| 17
| 50
| 50
| 83
| 17
| 13,361
| 0
| 3,595
|
no
| 2021-08-03T14:09:29.525000
| 2021-08-03T14:15:00
| 2021-08-06T17:00:00
|
RAINNY-21AUG04-T0
|
RAINNY-21AUG04
|
binary
|
Will it rain in New York City on Wednesday?
|
Above 0in
|
0in or below
|
finalized
| 9
| 11
| 89
| 91
| 10
| 4,433
| 0
| 1,282
|
no
| 2021-08-03T14:12:47.896000
| 2021-08-03T14:15:00
| 2021-08-05T03:30:00
|
GAS-21AUG09-A3.134
|
GAS-21AUG09
|
binary
|
Will average gas prices be higher this week than last week?
|
Above $$3.13
|
$$3.13 or below
|
finalized
| 95
| 97
| 3
| 5
| 97
| 9,877
| 0
| 1,461
|
yes
| 2021-08-03T14:14:22.696000
| 2021-08-03T14:15:00
| 2021-08-09T21:00:00
|
OLYMED-21-T1017
|
OLYMED-21
|
binary
|
Will under 1,017 medals be awarded at the Tokyo Olympics?
|
1,016 or lower
|
Outside 1,016 or lower
|
finalized
| 0
| 2
| 98
| 100
| 1
| 9,303
| 0
| 5,896
|
no
| 2021-08-03T15:45:51.310000
| 2021-08-03T15:50:00
| 2021-08-08T03:59:00
|
CASED-21AUG04-T85
|
CASED-21AUG04
|
binary
|
Will there be more than 85,000 new COVID-19 cases on Tuesday?
|
Above 85,000
|
85,000 or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 7,708
| 0
| 528
|
yes
| 2021-08-03T20:47:05.797000
| 2021-08-03T20:55:00
| 2021-08-05T00:00:00
|
TSA-21AUG04-T1.923
|
TSA-21AUG04
|
binary
|
Will more people be screened by the TSA this Wednesday than last Wednesday?
|
Above 1,923,980
|
1,923,980 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 100
| 1
| 3,408
| 0
| 2,021
|
no
| 2021-08-04T13:50:28.649000
| 2021-08-04T14:00:00
| 2021-08-05T20:00:00
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG05-T78
|
HIGHNY0-21AUG05
|
binary
|
Will the high in New York City be over 78° on Thursday?
|
Above 78°
|
78° or below
|
finalized
| 99
| 100
| 0
| 1
| 99
| 13,396
| 0
| 2,224
|
yes
| 2021-08-04T14:28:13.599000
| 2021-08-04T14:30:00
| 2021-08-06T00:00:00
|
RAINNY-21AUG05-T0
|
RAINNY-21AUG05
|
binary
|
Will it rain in New York City on Thursday?
|
Above 0in
|
0in or below
|
finalized
| 1
| 2
| 98
| 99
| 3
| 2,021
| 0
| 987
|
no
| 2021-08-04T14:32:22.623000
| 2021-08-04T14:40:00
| 2021-08-06T03:30:00
|
CASED-21AUG04-T100
|
CASED-21AUG04
|
binary
|
Will there be over 100,000 new COVID-19 cases on Tuesday?
|
Above 100,000
|
100,000 or below
|
finalized
| 98
| 99
| 1
| 2
| 99
| 30,473
| 0
| 9,371
|
yes
| 2021-08-04T14:35:36.881000
| 2021-08-04T14:45:00
| 2021-08-05T00:00:00
|
CASED-21AUG05-T108
|
CASED-21AUG05
|
binary
|
Will there be more than 108,000 new COVID-19 cases on Wednesday?
|
Above 108,000
|
108,000 or below
|
finalized
| 0
| 2
| 98
| 100
| 1
| 14,529
| 0
| 6,186
|
no
| 2021-08-05T04:12:09.889000
| 2021-08-05T12:10:00
| 2021-08-06T00:00:00
|
End of preview. Expand
in Data Studio
Kalshi Prediction Market Trades & Markets
Complete public trade-level and market-level data from Kalshi, the first CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in the United States.
Dataset Summary
| Count | Timespan | |
|---|---|---|
| Trades | 154,505,005 | June 2021 – January 2026 |
| Markets | 17,464,713 | June 2021 – January 2026 |
| Events | 4,721,915 | |
| Total contracts traded | 34.6 billion |
Data Files
trades/
16 parquet shards (~10M rows each), sorted by created_time.
| Column | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
trade_id |
string | Unique trade identifier |
ticker |
string | Market ticker (joins to markets.ticker) |
count |
int64 | Number of contracts in the trade |
yes_price |
int64 | Price of YES contracts (1–99 cents) |
no_price |
int64 | Price of NO contracts (1–99 cents) |
taker_side |
string | Side the taker bought: yes or no |
created_time |
timestamp[us, UTC] | When the trade occurred |
markets/
4 parquet shards (~5M rows each).
| Column | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|
ticker |
string | Unique market ticker |
event_ticker |
string | Parent event ticker (groups related markets) |
market_type |
string | Market type (e.g. binary) |
title |
string | Human-readable market title |
yes_sub_title |
string | Label for the YES side |
no_sub_title |
string | Label for the NO side |
status |
string | Market status: settled, closed, active, etc. |
yes_bid |
int64 | Best YES bid at time of fetch |
yes_ask |
int64 | Best YES ask at time of fetch |
no_bid |
int64 | Best NO bid at time of fetch |
no_ask |
int64 | Best NO ask at time of fetch |
last_price |
int64 | Last traded price |
volume |
int64 | Lifetime volume (contracts) |
volume_24h |
int64 | 24-hour volume |
open_interest |
int64 | Open interest |
result |
string | Resolution: yes, no, or empty if unresolved |
created_time |
timestamp | When the market was created |
open_time |
timestamp | When the market opened for trading |
close_time |
timestamp | When the market closed |
Usage
from datasets import load_dataset
ds = load_dataset("TrevorJS/kalshi-trades")
# or with DuckDB
import duckdb
con = duckdb.connect()
con.execute("SELECT * FROM 'hf://datasets/TrevorJS/kalshi-trades/trades/*.parquet' LIMIT 10")
Data Quality
- 0 duplicate trades (21,950 duplicates removed during cleaning)
- 0 null trade IDs or prices
- 100% trade-to-market join coverage (64 orphan tickers with no API-available market record were removed; 1,258 trades dropped, <0.001% of dataset)
- All timestamps are UTC
Provenance
Trade data was collected from the Kalshi public API. Market metadata was backfilled using the /markets batch ticker endpoint. The dataset combines data originally collected by Andrew Becker (June 2021 – November 2025) with an incremental update through January 2026.
Acknowledgments
- Andrew Becker for the original
kalshi_tradesdataset and collection infrastructure - Kalshi for providing a public API
License
CC-BY-4.0
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