sentences
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they also pointed out the near-zero growth in producer prices, and emphasised that slower price growth was accompanied by slightly lower inflation expectations, both among households and enterprises
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,018 |
national_bank_poland
| 15,449 |
the ratio of real estate loans to total loans concentration of banks lending in real estate loans increased to 37.5 at the end of august, close to the historical high of 37.9
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,024 |
central_bank_taiwan
| 23,961 |
going forward, private sector activity will remain the key driver of growth
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,017 |
bank_negara_malaysia
| 21,647 |
as the negative output gap narrows, core inflation should rise gradually from its current subdued levels but remain below its historical average.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,021 |
monetary_authority_singapore
| 22,004 |
the pbc will innovate and improve marco adjustments and use a combination of monetary policy instruments to keep the rmb exchange rate generally stable at an adaptive and equilibrium level, strike a balance among interest rates, exchange rates and the country’s balance of payments, facilitate the stable and sound development of economy, stabilize market expectations, prevent and defuse financial risks, and hold the bottom line of preventing systemic financial risks.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,018 |
peoples_bank_of_china
| 9,249 |
core inflation, as measured by the cpiefe, had been more subdued, but it was expected to accelerate over the months.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,018 |
central_bank_of_chile
| 20,078 |
the movement in the past month had been broadly consistent with interest differentials, but was less easy to reconcile with the apparent strength of domestic recovery in the united states relative to the euro area.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,002 |
bank_of_england
| 4,644 |
once duties and petroleum products were excluded, output price inflation was broadly stable at around 1½%.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,005 |
bank_of_england
| 4,407 |
the deceleration of inflation implies a return to normal monthly dynamics given the recent tightening cycle, with the receding impact of previous exchange rate and supply shocks.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,024 |
central_bank_of_egypt
| 17,880 |
he/she considered that the balance of risks to growth remains biased to the downside.
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,022 |
bank_of_mexico
| 3,767 |
consumer expectations (ipec) had improved from the previous meeting, but were still in pessimistic territory.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,021 |
central_bank_of_chile
| 20,093 |
however, the member expressed the opinion that high inflationary pressures would persist longer than expected, due not only to supply disruptions, but also to rapid recovery in demand, and changes in the labor supply and demand structure.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,022 |
bank_of_korea
| 18,378 |
another member recalled that inflation in said country has been persistently low in recent years, and that thus it is still to be seen if, on this occasion, the economic recovery will have a sustained effect on prices.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,021 |
bank_of_mexico
| 3,265 |
supported by central bank actions and by positive policy developments in europe, global financial conditions are more stimulative.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,013 |
bank_of_canada
| 10,829 |
overall inflation is expected to come in lower this year, between 1.0% to 0%.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,002 |
monetary_authority_singapore
| 22,105 |
the member’s assessment was that monetary policy still remained accommodative, in view of abundant market liquidity conditions.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,019 |
bank_of_korea
| 18,238 |
we will undertake appropriate monetary policy actions accordingly in an attempt to fulfill the central banks statutory mandate
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,017 |
central_bank_taiwan
| 23,927 |
the member commented that there were heavier depreciation pressures on the won and greater incentives for an increase in external debt, as residents’ direct and indirect overseas investment had been expanding and foreigners’ domestic portfolio investment was continuing to show a net outflow with the current account surplus narrowing sharply entering this year.
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,022 |
bank_of_korea
| 18,192 |
in addition, global energy prices, which started to recede from the levels they hit towards the end of september, pose a risk with a re-increase amid geopolitical problems.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,023 |
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
| 14,256 |
the cbe remains committed to take all actions necessary to ensure price stability over the medium term.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,005 |
central_bank_of_egypt
| 17,311 |
these factors will continue to hold back the global economy over the coming months
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,016 |
swiss_national_bank
| 2,037 |
the vote encompassed approval of the statement below to be released at 2:00 p.m.: information received since the federal open market committee met in january suggests a return to moderate economic growth following a pause late last year.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,013 |
fomc
| 6,697 |
headline and core inflation were slightly below the previous assessment but remained stable.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,014 |
bank_of_thailand
| 8,483 |
in emerging economies, in general, monetary policy bias is expansionist
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,012 |
brazil_copom
| 16,067 |
some council members additionally observed that in central and eastern europe despite inflation running above the targets in some of the economies central banks had not signalled a tightening of monetary policy
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,019 |
national_bank_poland
| 15,859 |
all the participants in the meeting agreed that the economy, both externally and internally, had behaved within the framework depicted in the baseline scenario of the last monetary policy report, although risks remained and had even varied on some fronts.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,018 |
central_bank_of_chile
| 20,798 |
on balance, financial conditions remained supportive of fund mobilization by the private sector and ongoing recovery, as bank lending and corporate bond issuances continued expanding.
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,023 |
bank_of_thailand
| 8,847 |
summing up, mr praet noted that financial conditions had eased since the governing council’s march 2019 monetary policy meeting.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,019 |
ecb
| 24,252 |
some international energy agency member countries had also agreed to release additional oil from their emergency stocks in response to the ongoing disruption of supplies from libya.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,011 |
bank_of_england
| 4,051 |
health tax receipts in june, which provide an indication of wage payments in that month, were 7.6 percent higher, in nominal terms, than in june 2010 (excluding the effect of legislative changes).
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,011 |
bank_of_israel
| 12,309 |
lower prospective growth in demand was expected to reduce both goods and services inflation over time.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,023 |
reserve_bank_australia
| 7,127 |
the board is especially attentive to new information referring to inflation expectations and the evolution of economic activity to consider, if necessary, changes in the monetary policy position
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,021 |
central_reserve_bank_peru
| 19,172 |
this lessened the trade-off that the mpc was required to balance and, all else equal, reduced the mpc’s tolerance of above-target inflation.
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,017 |
bank_of_england
| 4,941 |
meanwhile, banks excess reserves stayed at levels between nt40 billion and nt60 billion
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,020 |
central_bank_taiwan
| 23,837 |
recent indicators suggest that the depreciation in the turkish lira and the repercussions through confidence channel may lead to a slowdown in domestic demand in the first quarter of the year.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,017 |
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
| 14,916 |
in japan, the tankan indicator increased for the fifth consecutive month, registering a record high since in europe, business confidence remained flat, although consumer confidence increased
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,004 |
brazil_copom
| 16,060 |
the average inflation rate for the first 9 months is 7.9 percent.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,005 |
bank_of_phillipines
| 5,448 |
chinese annual consumer price inflation had been unchanged in august, at 5.3%.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,004 |
bank_of_england
| 4,778 |
the sluggish outlook in tourism sector continues to have a negative impact on the current account balance, which, however, is alleviated by the lagged pass-through of terms-of-trade developments and the moderate course of loans.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,017 |
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
| 14,458 |
the recovery thus remains incomplete
|
irrelevant
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,020 |
swiss_national_bank
| 2,237 |
they pointed to the continuing moderate wage growth in enterprises, and argued that the risk of second round effects was reduced by increased level of unemployment, freezing of aggregate wages in the public finance sector in 2011 and limited role of trade unions in wage-setting in the polish economy
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,011 |
national_bank_poland
| 15,061 |
participants observed that the recent partial federal government shutdown had presented a significant hardship for many families.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,019 |
fomc
| 6,579 |
however, with firms' persistent sense of excessive capital stock, the pace of improvement in business fixed investment was likely to remain moderate.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,010 |
bank_of_japan
| 1,150 |
the point was also made that the june projections did not take into account the commission’s recovery fund proposal or recently announced national fiscal measures, which could entail an upside risk to the economic outlook contained in the staff projections.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,020 |
ecb
| 24,586 |
this brought the january-april 2004 annual growth of imports to 6.9 percent.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,004 |
bank_of_phillipines
| 5,590 |
the impact of automatic tax increases is also visible in bottled gas prices.
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,024 |
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
| 14,532 |
some council members were of the opinion that wage growth in the following quarters should not accelerate significantly and emphasised that the available forecasts indicated it would stabilise at around 7
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,018 |
national_bank_poland
| 15,966 |
in this scenario, the peruvian economy maintains sound fundamentals
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,016 |
central_reserve_bank_peru
| 19,042 |
from january to may, the trade balance registered a surplus of us 601 million, reducing the accumulated 12 month deficit to us 132 million
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,000 |
brazil_copom
| 16,316 |
a few members noted that shortages of raw material and labor were constraining some sectors and, in the context of the elevated inflation expectations, would drive pass-through of costs to final goods and services prices in the period ahead.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,012 |
bank_of_thailand
| 8,606 |
this reflects the uncertainty associated with trade conflicts, continuing adjustment in the energy sector, and the unwinding of temporary factors that boosted growth in the second quarter.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,019 |
bank_of_canada
| 10,333 |
the member added that aggressive financial support was also needed for businesses and vulnerable groups experiencing a temporary crisis triggered by an unexpected shock.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,020 |
bank_of_korea
| 18,300 |
corporate bond yields had declined alongside the fall in government bond yields and a narrowing of credit spreads.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,023 |
reserve_bank_australia
| 7,829 |
the region’s stock markets have dropped, but not as much as those in the developed countries.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,010 |
bank_of_colombia
| 128 |
this meant leaving no doubt about the need for a normalization of monetary policy, but, in turn, ensuring that this normalization would be done gradually and with caution.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,018 |
central_bank_of_chile
| 20,719 |
the nominal effective exchange rate of the shekel, calculated as the average shekel exchange rate against 24 currencies (representing 33 countries) weighted according to the volume of israel's trade with those countries, showed a shekel appreciation of about 0.5 percent in the period from february 23 to march 19.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,009 |
bank_of_israel
| 12,379 |
while chile’s economic indicators were yet to reflect the effects of these disruptions, the progression of the virus in other countries pointed at significant impacts on the affected firms’ sales and cash flows.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,020 |
central_bank_of_chile
| 20,447 |
- growth in commercial bank lending rose to 11.1 percent year-on-year in october from 6.1 percent in september, driven mainly by loans to the financial institutions, real estate and business services (firebs) sector; the community, social and personal services sector; and the wholesale and retail trade sector.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,006 |
bank_of_phillipines
| 5,139 |
(iv) private consumption grew at a rate close to its historic average, and it is feasible to expect it will slow somewhat this year, but not significantly.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,013 |
bank_of_colombia
| 377 |
3,50 percent for direct temporary purchases of securities and monetary regulation credits b
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,003 |
central_reserve_bank_peru
| 19,334 |
accordingly, higher annual non-food inflation led annual core inflation to increase slightly to 2.7 percent in october 2019 from 2.6 percent in september 2019, the lowest rate since april 2006.
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,019 |
central_bank_of_egypt
| 17,589 |
the negative impact of lower oil prices will gradually be mitigated by a stronger u.s. economy, a weaker canadian dollar, and the bank’s monetary policy response.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,015 |
bank_of_canada
| 10,784 |
as had been the case for some time, the flow of new listings for sale remained similar to pre-pandemic levels but total listings were much lower, implying that dwellings were being sold at a rapid pace.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,021 |
reserve_bank_australia
| 7,834 |
the pbc will work to improve the market-based mechanism of interest rate formation and transmission and the central bank policy rate system.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,021 |
peoples_bank_of_china
| 9,916 |
that primarily reflected the very substantial rise in wholesale gas futures prices that had occurred since the may report, most recently due to russia’s restrictions of gas supplies to european markets in july and due to the risk of further curbs.
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,022 |
bank_of_england
| 4,295 |
one of the members stated that given both the current u.s. business cycle and the timing of the fiscal stimulus, the u.s. economy is expected to continue growing at a robust rate, not only for the remainder of 2018, but also during 2019.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,018 |
bank_of_mexico
| 3,818 |
but there were signs of improvement in corporate profitability, which could support investment.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,000 |
bank_of_england
| 4,786 |
despite a downward adjustment to the figure for gdp in the fourth quarter of 2009 from 1.1 percent to 0.9 percent, that is still a good figure for growth in japan, as it is based also on consumption and not only on exports.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,010 |
bank_of_israel
| 12,092 |
the bank estimates that gdp grew by about 4% in the second quarter.
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,022 |
bank_of_canada
| 10,750 |
in case of a failure in implementing the macroeconomic rebalancing process rapidly and effectively enough to bring inflation down amid high inflation rates and risk premium levels, inflation and exchange rate expectations may feed each other and undermine the disinflation process.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,018 |
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
| 14,312 |
bank staff were continuing to analyse the significance within m4 of ofis’ holdings but no new information had come to hand.
|
irrelevant
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 1,997 |
bank_of_england
| 4,876 |
in fact, recent orders and shipments data suggested an upturn in spending for new equipment, but the improvement was still quite limited, unevenly distributed across industries, and not yet firmly indicative of a sustained advance.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,002 |
fomc
| 6,989 |
on the negative side, there were few indications of a possible upturn in commercial construction activity.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,003 |
fomc
| 6,279 |
some members pointed out that the unemployment rate increased.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,024 |
bank_of_mexico
| 3,317 |
concurrently, however, weakness persisted in business capital expenditures, which members continued to view as the critical factor inhibiting the economic expansion.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,003 |
fomc
| 6,492 |
economic growth might accelerate to 2-3% by 2022 should the government’s measures for overcoming structural constraints, including the implementation of national projects, be realised.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,019 |
central_bank_of_russia
| 13,804 |
for the whole of 2009, the cpi inflation forecast is unchanged at -1% to 0%.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,009 |
monetary_authority_singapore
| 22,410 |
the index decreased by 28.7% compared to the highest level reached last year.
|
irrelevant
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,023 |
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
| 14,664 |
on asian economies, members concurred that china and india continued to show high growth.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,008 |
bank_of_japan
| 1,041 |
recent data also suggest that growth in construction loans of all banks have continued to slow
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,023 |
central_bank_taiwan
| 23,006 |
looking ahead, primary sources of upside price pressures include next years base wage and public sector pay hike and the likely consequence of a private sector pay raise, which could increase hiring costs and in turn feed into the prices of goods and services; further increases in global food prices, adding to upward pressures for domestic prices of food away from home; unabated supply chain disruptions, which could push up the prices of certain goods
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,021 |
central_bank_taiwan
| 23,994 |
this revision is explained, in part, by the actual behavior of the world economy and private spending, which have been weaker than expected financial variablesin june, bank lending (/ and f/c) posted an annual increase of 14.06%, which is similar to the growth observed in recent months.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,013 |
bank_of_colombia
| 691 |
the slowdown in the mortgage portfolio, in turn, has been less accentuated with variation rates of 16.4% and 15.6% in the same period.the real interest rates (discounting the cpi excluding food) for the october disbursements for consumer, mortgage, and ordinary and preferential commercial loans were at 15.6%, 9.9%, 9.0%, and 5.6% respectively.
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,012 |
bank_of_colombia
| 664 |
but there was no case for a further rise.
|
irrelevant
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,000 |
bank_of_england
| 4,938 |
at the same time, it was observed that broader measures of the degree of slack remained elevated.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,017 |
ecb
| 24,735 |
the mpc stresses that achieving a tight monetary stance is a necessary condition to attain the cbe’s upcoming inflation targets of 7 percent (± 2 percentage points) on average by 2024 q4 and 5 percent (± 2 percentage points) on average by 2026 q4.
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,023 |
central_bank_of_egypt
| 17,263 |
amid the weakened global economic conditions, activity growth has also declined in poland
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,023 |
national_bank_poland
| 15,730 |
these members agreed that the projected rates of increase in the cpi presented in the october 2018 outlook report were somewhat lower, mainly for fiscal 2018, than those in the july outlook report.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,018 |
bank_of_japan
| 1,401 |
there were still risks from a number of sources in advanced and emerging economies, however, including any disorderly outcome from a failure to reach agreement on a new greek programme.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,015 |
bank_of_england
| 4,605 |
in the committee’s judgment, the economy overall continued to recover.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,023 |
bank_of_thailand
| 8,174 |
i voted, however, for holding the rate unchanged through the june and august meetings to allow transitory effects to fully pass.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,018 |
rbi
| 11,969 |
for the time being, it intends to keep the three-month libor rate in the middle of the target range at 0.75
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,004 |
swiss_national_bank
| 2,543 |
effective supply management by the government, as in the recent past, could help in keeping food inflation under check.
|
hawkish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,018 |
rbi
| 11,229 |
core inflation in february showed a of 0.32 percent and thus accumulated a rate of 3.79 percent in the last 12 months
|
neutral
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,012 |
central_reserve_bank_peru
| 19,050 |
nevertheless, it should be noted that the figures in dollars for imports of consumer goods showed an annual growth of 19.9% in january.total exports, in contrast saw a change of -1.1% in january in comparison to the same month in 2012.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,013 |
bank_of_colombia
| 960 |
the war in ukraine has been a significant factor here, too, in that the prices of many commodities have risen as a result
|
hawkish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,022 |
swiss_national_bank
| 2,454 |
mr. g. kataoka expressed the following opinions: (1) the possibility of the year-on-year rate of change in the cpi increasing toward 2 percent going forward was low at this point, and (2) further coordination of fiscal and monetary policy was important in order to achieve the price stability target of 2 percent at the earliest possible time, and that it was necessary for the bank to make a commitment to taking additional easing measures if it revised downward its assessment of medium- to long-term inflation expectations.
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,018 |
bank_of_japan
| 1,319 |
a few members then referred to the fact that the government recently had laid out measures such as tax cuts for firms that raised wages proactively.
|
dovish
|
not forward looking
|
certain
| 2,017 |
bank_of_japan
| 1,531 |
results of the bsp’s survey of private sector economists for november 2017 showed that mean inflation forecasts for 2017 and 2019 were steady at 3.3 and 3.4 percent, respectively.
|
neutral
|
forward looking
|
certain
| 2,017 |
bank_of_phillipines
| 5,340 |
in line with earlier assessments, the average headline inflation is expected to be negative in 2020 due mainly to the substantially lower global oil prices
|
dovish
|
forward looking
|
uncertain
| 2,021 |
bank_negara_malaysia
| 21,971 |
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