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they also pointed out the near-zero growth in producer prices, and emphasised that slower price growth was accompanied by slightly lower inflation expectations, both among households and enterprises
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,018
national_bank_poland
15,449
the ratio of real estate loans to total loans concentration of banks lending in real estate loans increased to 37.5 at the end of august, close to the historical high of 37.9
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,024
central_bank_taiwan
23,961
going forward, private sector activity will remain the key driver of growth
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,017
bank_negara_malaysia
21,647
as the negative output gap narrows, core inflation should rise gradually from its current subdued levels but remain below its historical average.
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,021
monetary_authority_singapore
22,004
the pbc will innovate and improve marco adjustments and use a combination of monetary policy instruments to keep the rmb exchange rate generally stable at an adaptive and equilibrium level, strike a balance among interest rates, exchange rates and the country’s balance of payments, facilitate the stable and sound development of economy, stabilize market expectations, prevent and defuse financial risks, and hold the bottom line of preventing systemic financial risks.
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,018
peoples_bank_of_china
9,249
core inflation, as measured by the cpiefe, had been more subdued, but it was expected to accelerate over the months.
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,018
central_bank_of_chile
20,078
the movement in the past month had been broadly consistent with interest differentials, but was less easy to reconcile with the apparent strength of domestic recovery in the united states relative to the euro area.
neutral
not forward looking
uncertain
2,002
bank_of_england
4,644
once duties and petroleum products were excluded, output price inflation was broadly stable at around 1½%.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,005
bank_of_england
4,407
the deceleration of inflation implies a return to normal monthly dynamics given the recent tightening cycle, with the receding impact of previous exchange rate and supply shocks.
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,024
central_bank_of_egypt
17,880
he/she considered that the balance of risks to growth remains biased to the downside.
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,022
bank_of_mexico
3,767
consumer expectations (ipec) had improved from the previous meeting, but were still in pessimistic territory.
dovish
not forward looking
uncertain
2,021
central_bank_of_chile
20,093
however, the member expressed the opinion that high inflationary pressures would persist longer than expected, due not only to supply disruptions, but also to rapid recovery in demand, and changes in the labor supply and demand structure.
hawkish
forward looking
certain
2,022
bank_of_korea
18,378
another member recalled that inflation in said country has been persistently low in recent years, and that thus it is still to be seen if, on this occasion, the economic recovery will have a sustained effect on prices.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,021
bank_of_mexico
3,265
supported by central bank actions and by positive policy developments in europe, global financial conditions are more stimulative.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,013
bank_of_canada
10,829
overall inflation is expected to come in lower this year, between 1.0% to 0%.
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,002
monetary_authority_singapore
22,105
the member’s assessment was that monetary policy still remained accommodative, in view of abundant market liquidity conditions.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,019
bank_of_korea
18,238
we will undertake appropriate monetary policy actions accordingly in an attempt to fulfill the central banks statutory mandate
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,017
central_bank_taiwan
23,927
the member commented that there were heavier depreciation pressures on the won and greater incentives for an increase in external debt, as residents’ direct and indirect overseas investment had been expanding and foreigners’ domestic portfolio investment was continuing to show a net outflow with the current account surplus narrowing sharply entering this year.
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,022
bank_of_korea
18,192
in addition, global energy prices, which started to recede from the levels they hit towards the end of september, pose a risk with a re-increase amid geopolitical problems.
hawkish
forward looking
certain
2,023
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
14,256
the cbe remains committed to take all actions necessary to ensure price stability over the medium term.
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,005
central_bank_of_egypt
17,311
these factors will continue to hold back the global economy over the coming months
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,016
swiss_national_bank
2,037
the vote encompassed approval of the statement below to be released at 2:00 p.m.: information received since the federal open market committee met in january suggests a return to moderate economic growth following a pause late last year.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,013
fomc
6,697
headline and core inflation were slightly below the previous assessment but remained stable.
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,014
bank_of_thailand
8,483
in emerging economies, in general, monetary policy bias is expansionist
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,012
brazil_copom
16,067
some council members additionally observed that in central and eastern europe despite inflation running above the targets in some of the economies central banks had not signalled a tightening of monetary policy
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,019
national_bank_poland
15,859
all the participants in the meeting agreed that the economy, both externally and internally, had behaved within the framework depicted in the baseline scenario of the last monetary policy report, although risks remained and had even varied on some fronts.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,018
central_bank_of_chile
20,798
on balance, financial conditions remained supportive of fund mobilization by the private sector and ongoing recovery, as bank lending and corporate bond issuances continued expanding.
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,023
bank_of_thailand
8,847
summing up, mr praet noted that financial conditions had eased since the governing council’s march 2019 monetary policy meeting.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,019
ecb
24,252
some international energy agency member countries had also agreed to release additional oil from their emergency stocks in response to the ongoing disruption of supplies from libya.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,011
bank_of_england
4,051
health tax receipts in june, which provide an indication of wage payments in that month, were 7.6 percent higher, in nominal terms, than in june 2010 (excluding the effect of legislative changes).
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,011
bank_of_israel
12,309
lower prospective growth in demand was expected to reduce both goods and services inflation over time.
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,023
reserve_bank_australia
7,127
the board is especially attentive to new information referring to inflation expectations and the evolution of economic activity to consider, if necessary, changes in the monetary policy position
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,021
central_reserve_bank_peru
19,172
this lessened the trade-off that the mpc was required to balance and, all else equal, reduced the mpc’s tolerance of above-target inflation.
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,017
bank_of_england
4,941
meanwhile, banks excess reserves stayed at levels between nt40 billion and nt60 billion
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,020
central_bank_taiwan
23,837
recent indicators suggest that the depreciation in the turkish lira and the repercussions through confidence channel may lead to a slowdown in domestic demand in the first quarter of the year.
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,017
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
14,916
in japan, the tankan indicator increased for the fifth consecutive month, registering a record high since in europe, business confidence remained flat, although consumer confidence increased
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,004
brazil_copom
16,060
the average inflation rate for the first 9 months is 7.9 percent.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,005
bank_of_phillipines
5,448
chinese annual consumer price inflation had been unchanged in august, at 5.3%.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,004
bank_of_england
4,778
the sluggish outlook in tourism sector continues to have a negative impact on the current account balance, which, however, is alleviated by the lagged pass-through of terms-of-trade developments and the moderate course of loans.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,017
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
14,458
the recovery thus remains incomplete
irrelevant
forward looking
certain
2,020
swiss_national_bank
2,237
they pointed to the continuing moderate wage growth in enterprises, and argued that the risk of second round effects was reduced by increased level of unemployment, freezing of aggregate wages in the public finance sector in 2011 and limited role of trade unions in wage-setting in the polish economy
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,011
national_bank_poland
15,061
participants observed that the recent partial federal government shutdown had presented a significant hardship for many families.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,019
fomc
6,579
however, with firms' persistent sense of excessive capital stock, the pace of improvement in business fixed investment was likely to remain moderate.
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,010
bank_of_japan
1,150
the point was also made that the june projections did not take into account the commission’s recovery fund proposal or recently announced national fiscal measures, which could entail an upside risk to the economic outlook contained in the staff projections.
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,020
ecb
24,586
this brought the january-april 2004 annual growth of imports to 6.9 percent.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,004
bank_of_phillipines
5,590
the impact of automatic tax increases is also visible in bottled gas prices.
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,024
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
14,532
some council members were of the opinion that wage growth in the following quarters should not accelerate significantly and emphasised that the available forecasts indicated it would stabilise at around 7
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,018
national_bank_poland
15,966
in this scenario, the peruvian economy maintains sound fundamentals
neutral
not forward looking
uncertain
2,016
central_reserve_bank_peru
19,042
from january to may, the trade balance registered a surplus of us 601 million, reducing the accumulated 12 month deficit to us 132 million
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,000
brazil_copom
16,316
a few members noted that shortages of raw material and labor were constraining some sectors and, in the context of the elevated inflation expectations, would drive pass-through of costs to final goods and services prices in the period ahead.
hawkish
forward looking
certain
2,012
bank_of_thailand
8,606
this reflects the uncertainty associated with trade conflicts, continuing adjustment in the energy sector, and the unwinding of temporary factors that boosted growth in the second quarter.
neutral
not forward looking
uncertain
2,019
bank_of_canada
10,333
the member added that aggressive financial support was also needed for businesses and vulnerable groups experiencing a temporary crisis triggered by an unexpected shock.
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,020
bank_of_korea
18,300
corporate bond yields had declined alongside the fall in government bond yields and a narrowing of credit spreads.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,023
reserve_bank_australia
7,829
the region’s stock markets have dropped, but not as much as those in the developed countries.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,010
bank_of_colombia
128
this meant leaving no doubt about the need for a normalization of monetary policy, but, in turn, ensuring that this normalization would be done gradually and with caution.
hawkish
forward looking
certain
2,018
central_bank_of_chile
20,719
the nominal effective exchange rate of the shekel, calculated as the average shekel exchange rate against 24 currencies (representing 33 countries) weighted according to the volume of israel's trade with those countries, showed a shekel appreciation of about 0.5 percent in the period from february 23 to march 19.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,009
bank_of_israel
12,379
while chile’s economic indicators were yet to reflect the effects of these disruptions, the progression of the virus in other countries pointed at significant impacts on the affected firms’ sales and cash flows.
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,020
central_bank_of_chile
20,447
- growth in commercial bank lending rose to 11.1 percent year-on-year in october from 6.1 percent in september, driven mainly by loans to the financial institutions, real estate and business services (firebs) sector; the community, social and personal services sector; and the wholesale and retail trade sector.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,006
bank_of_phillipines
5,139
(iv) private consumption grew at a rate close to its historic average, and it is feasible to expect it will slow somewhat this year, but not significantly.
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,013
bank_of_colombia
377
3,50 percent for direct temporary purchases of securities and monetary regulation credits b
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,003
central_reserve_bank_peru
19,334
accordingly, higher annual non-food inflation led annual core inflation to increase slightly to 2.7 percent in october 2019 from 2.6 percent in september 2019, the lowest rate since april 2006.
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,019
central_bank_of_egypt
17,589
the negative impact of lower oil prices will gradually be mitigated by a stronger u.s. economy, a weaker canadian dollar, and the bank’s monetary policy response.
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,015
bank_of_canada
10,784
as had been the case for some time, the flow of new listings for sale remained similar to pre-pandemic levels but total listings were much lower, implying that dwellings were being sold at a rapid pace.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,021
reserve_bank_australia
7,834
the pbc will work to improve the market-based mechanism of interest rate formation and transmission and the central bank policy rate system.
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,021
peoples_bank_of_china
9,916
that primarily reflected the very substantial rise in wholesale gas futures prices that had occurred since the may report, most recently due to russia’s restrictions of gas supplies to european markets in july and due to the risk of further curbs.
hawkish
not forward looking
uncertain
2,022
bank_of_england
4,295
one of the members stated that given both the current u.s. business cycle and the timing of the fiscal stimulus, the u.s. economy is expected to continue growing at a robust rate, not only for the remainder of 2018, but also during 2019.
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,018
bank_of_mexico
3,818
but there were signs of improvement in corporate profitability, which could support investment.
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,000
bank_of_england
4,786
despite a downward adjustment to the figure for gdp in the fourth quarter of 2009 from 1.1 percent to 0.9 percent, that is still a good figure for growth in japan, as it is based also on consumption and not only on exports.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,010
bank_of_israel
12,092
the bank estimates that gdp grew by about 4% in the second quarter.
hawkish
not forward looking
uncertain
2,022
bank_of_canada
10,750
in case of a failure in implementing the macroeconomic rebalancing process rapidly and effectively enough to bring inflation down amid high inflation rates and risk premium levels, inflation and exchange rate expectations may feed each other and undermine the disinflation process.
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,018
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
14,312
bank staff were continuing to analyse the significance within m4 of ofis’ holdings but no new information had come to hand.
irrelevant
not forward looking
uncertain
1,997
bank_of_england
4,876
in fact, recent orders and shipments data suggested an upturn in spending for new equipment, but the improvement was still quite limited, unevenly distributed across industries, and not yet firmly indicative of a sustained advance.
neutral
not forward looking
uncertain
2,002
fomc
6,989
on the negative side, there were few indications of a possible upturn in commercial construction activity.
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,003
fomc
6,279
some members pointed out that the unemployment rate increased.
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,024
bank_of_mexico
3,317
concurrently, however, weakness persisted in business capital expenditures, which members continued to view as the critical factor inhibiting the economic expansion.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,003
fomc
6,492
economic growth might accelerate to 2-3% by 2022 should the government’s measures for overcoming structural constraints, including the implementation of national projects, be realised.
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,019
central_bank_of_russia
13,804
for the whole of 2009, the cpi inflation forecast is unchanged at -1% to 0%.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,009
monetary_authority_singapore
22,410
the index decreased by 28.7% compared to the highest level reached last year.
irrelevant
not forward looking
certain
2,023
central_bank_republic_of_turkey
14,664
on asian economies, members concurred that china and india continued to show high growth.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,008
bank_of_japan
1,041
recent data also suggest that growth in construction loans of all banks have continued to slow
hawkish
not forward looking
uncertain
2,023
central_bank_taiwan
23,006
looking ahead, primary sources of upside price pressures include next years base wage and public sector pay hike and the likely consequence of a private sector pay raise, which could increase hiring costs and in turn feed into the prices of goods and services; further increases in global food prices, adding to upward pressures for domestic prices of food away from home; unabated supply chain disruptions, which could push up the prices of certain goods
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,021
central_bank_taiwan
23,994
this revision is explained, in part, by the actual behavior of the world economy and private spending, which have been weaker than expected    financial variablesin june, bank lending (/ and f/c) posted an annual increase of 14.06%, which is similar to the growth observed in recent months.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,013
bank_of_colombia
691
the slowdown in the mortgage portfolio, in turn, has been less accentuated with variation rates of 16.4% and 15.6% in the same period.the real interest rates (discounting the cpi excluding food) for the october disbursements for consumer, mortgage, and ordinary and preferential commercial loans were at 15.6%, 9.9%, 9.0%, and 5.6% respectively.
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,012
bank_of_colombia
664
but there was no case for a further rise.
irrelevant
forward looking
certain
2,000
bank_of_england
4,938
at the same time, it was observed that broader measures of the degree of slack remained elevated.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,017
ecb
24,735
the mpc stresses that achieving a tight monetary stance is a necessary condition to attain the cbe’s upcoming inflation targets of 7 percent (± 2 percentage points) on average by 2024 q4 and 5 percent (± 2 percentage points) on average by 2026 q4.
hawkish
forward looking
certain
2,023
central_bank_of_egypt
17,263
amid the weakened global economic conditions, activity growth has also declined in poland
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,023
national_bank_poland
15,730
these members agreed that the projected rates of increase in the cpi presented in the october 2018 outlook report were somewhat lower, mainly for fiscal 2018, than those in the july outlook report.
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,018
bank_of_japan
1,401
there were still risks from a number of sources in advanced and emerging economies, however, including any disorderly outcome from a failure to reach agreement on a new greek programme.
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,015
bank_of_england
4,605
in the committee’s judgment, the economy overall continued to recover.
dovish
not forward looking
uncertain
2,023
bank_of_thailand
8,174
i voted, however, for holding the rate unchanged through the june and august meetings to allow transitory effects to fully pass.
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,018
rbi
11,969
for the time being, it intends to keep the three-month libor rate in the middle of the target range at 0.75
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,004
swiss_national_bank
2,543
effective supply management by the government, as in the recent past, could help in keeping food inflation under check.
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,018
rbi
11,229
core inflation in february showed a of 0.32 percent and thus accumulated a rate of 3.79 percent in the last 12 months
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,012
central_reserve_bank_peru
19,050
nevertheless, it should be noted that the figures in dollars for imports of consumer goods showed an annual growth of 19.9% in january.total exports, in contrast saw a change of -1.1% in january in comparison to the same month in 2012.
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,013
bank_of_colombia
960
the war in ukraine has been a significant factor here, too, in that the prices of many commodities have risen as a result
hawkish
forward looking
certain
2,022
swiss_national_bank
2,454
mr. g. kataoka expressed the following opinions: (1) the possibility of the year-on-year rate of change in the cpi increasing toward 2 percent going forward was low at this point, and (2) further coordination of fiscal and monetary policy was important in order to achieve the price stability target of 2 percent at the earliest possible time, and that it was necessary for the bank to make a commitment to taking additional easing measures if it revised downward its assessment of medium- to long-term inflation expectations.
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,018
bank_of_japan
1,319
a few members then referred to the fact that the government recently had laid out measures such as tax cuts for firms that raised wages proactively.
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,017
bank_of_japan
1,531
results of the bsp’s survey of private sector economists for november 2017 showed that mean inflation forecasts for 2017 and 2019 were steady at 3.3 and 3.4 percent, respectively.
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,017
bank_of_phillipines
5,340
in line with earlier assessments, the average headline inflation is expected to be negative in 2020 due mainly to the substantially lower global oil prices
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,021
bank_negara_malaysia
21,971