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downside risks to the global outlook remain, especially if a resurgence of the pandemic necessitates the reintroduction of containment measures
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,020
265
looking ahead, the strong growth momentum is expected to continue in 2018, sustained by the stronger global growth and positive spillovers from the external sector to the domestic economy
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,018
374
the latest indicators have continued to signal further improvements in the international economic and financial conditions
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,009
769
growth will remain driven by domestic demand
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,023
825
for malaysia, the strong growth performance in the fourth quarter of 2017 continued to be anchored by private sector spending
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,018
715
the growth outlook is subject to downside risks from weaker-than-expected external demand, and larger declines in commodity production
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,024
834
the growth momentum is expected to be sustained in 2017
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,017
417
the growth of financing to the private sector has improved, consistent with the pace of economic activity
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,017
730
moving forward, the mpc will continue to carefully assess the balance of risks surrounding the outlook for domestic growth and inflation
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,014
791
the domestic financial markets have remained resilient, despite periods of volatility primarily due to global developments
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,019
881
the ringgit, along with other emerging market currencies, has continued to stabilise
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,017
752
the ringgit is currently undervalued, given malaysias economic fundamentals and growth prospects
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,024
667
exports will continue to benefit from the recovery in the advanced economies and regional demand
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,014
880
in addition, fiscal and financial measures will continue to cushion the economic impact on businesses and households and provide support to economic activity
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,021
187
investment activity and private consumption have remained firm
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,013
535
the economic recovery in the major advanced economies has remained modest
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,015
195
on the external front, exports are projected to provide an additional lift to growth, albeit to a lesser extent, due to moderating global growth momentum
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,018
356
while growth across the advanced economies has improved, it has remained modest
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,015
27
underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation1, remained stable at 1.6 in march 2019
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,019
555
support from the external sector is expected to soften, in tandem with the moderating global growth momentum
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,019
995
in addition to domestic conditions, the mpc will continue to carefully assess the global economic and financial developments and their implications on the overall outlook for inflation and growth of the malaysian economy
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,013
99
this is to ensure the sustainability of the growth prospects of the malaysian economy
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,014
882
the pace and strength of the recovery, however, remain subject to downside risks emanating from both domestic and external factors
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,020
504
growth momentum has been lifted by stronger spillovers from the external sector to the domestic economy as firms invest in productive capacity, raise wages and hire more workers
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,017
810
headline inflation for 2016 is expected to be at the lower end of the projected range of 2.0 2.5
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,016
452
a stronger ringgit exchange rate compared to 2017 will mitigate import costs
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,018
602
tourist arrivals and spending are expected to improve further
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,024
631
inflation declined further in july
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,009
410
the strength of the recovery in the major advanced economies has yet to gain momentum
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,013
321
consequently, as the effect of the increase in retail petroleum prices lapses, inflation has moderated to 1.5 in march
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,007
28
in the advanced economies, rising wages and policy support will provide further impetus to growth
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,018
951
stable labour market conditions and capacity expansion in key sectors will continue to drive household and capital spending
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,019
630
furthermore, in the event that global growth is lower than currently projected, it would have a mitigating effect on global prices
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,007
898
with the economy firmly on a steady growth path, the mpc decided to normalise the degree of monetary accommodation
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,018
456
the global economy continues to be confronted with some uncertainties
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,013
447
in asia, growth is supported by sustained domestic demand and a gradual recovery in external demand
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,013
499
the increase was mainly due to higher food and fuel prices
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,011
436
global commodity and energy prices are projected to remain elevated during the year, with inflation in major trading partners also expected to rise further
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,011
772
global energy and commodity prices are expected to trend higher in 2018, but at a more moderate pace relative to the previous year
hawkish
forward looking
certain
2,018
644
while the growth of private investment has moderated due to lower investment by the oil and gas industry and commodities sector, overall investment activity will remain supported by the implementation of infrastructure projects and capital spending in the manufacturing and services sectors
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,016
213
in asia, while growth continues to be supported by domestic demand, the growth momentum has moderated amid a slowdown in trade activity
neutral
not forward looking
uncertain
2,012
220
these developments are affecting growth in the rest of the world
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,012
11
the impact of the consumption tax policy on headline inflation in 2019 will start to lapse towards the end of the year
hawkish
forward looking
certain
2,019
806
while core inflation in advanced economies is slowing down, it remains above historical averages
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,023
249
nevertheless, the downside risk to the global economic outlook has increased following the weakening growth momentum in a number of major economies due to external and domestic specific factors
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,015
482
the mpc considers the current stance of monetary policy to be accommodative and supportive of the economy
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,012
389
substantial policy stimuli introduced by many economies, coupled with the gradual easing of containment measures globally, would partially mitigate the economic impact of covid-19
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,020
746
going forward, the global growth outlook will continue to face headwinds from tighter financial conditions amid elevated inflation in major economies and the domestic challenges in china
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,022
121
the meeting also approved the schedule of monetary policy committee meetings for 2008
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,007
952
high food price inflation, largely due to supply disruptions, continues to remain a concern
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,011
231
these conditions have continued into the second quarter
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,009
129
the assessment is therefore for the economic growth to remain within the region of 4.5 to 5.5 percent
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,015
36
overall, both headline and core inflation for 2023 are within expectations, averaging for the year at 2.5 and 3.0, respectively
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,024
76
investment activity will be supported by the domestic-oriented industries, the commodity sector and the public sector
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,012
41
these factors include the weaker commodity prices, the strength of the u.s. dollar, and the uncertainty in the global financial markets
hawkish
not forward looking
uncertain
2,015
479
downside risks to the domestic economy continue to stem from a weaker-than-expected global growth, higher risk aversion in global financial markets amid more aggressive monetary policy tightening in major economies, further escalation of geopolitical conflicts, and worsening supply chain disruptions
hawkish
forward looking
uncertain
2,022
387
this trend is expected to be maintained in the fourth quarter
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,007
96
global headline inflation edged up partly due to higher commodity prices, while core inflation continued to moderate
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,023
463
going forward, the expectation remains that the domestic economy will improve in the second half of 2009 and into 2010, following a recovery in domestic demand amidst stabilisation of the global economy
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,009
360
although global monetary conditions remain highly accommodative, financial market volatility has increased substantially in the recent period as markets reassessed the direction of policy
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,013
609
the malaysian economy continued to expand in the first half of 2018, supported by private sector activity with additional impetus from net exports
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,018
618
financial conditions remain supportive of growth
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,021
871
in line with earlier assessments, the average headline inflation is expected to be negative in 2020 due mainly to the substantially lower global oil prices
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,021
971
financial conditions have improved, although risk aversion remains elevated
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,020
82
while domestic demand remains resilient, there are indications of slower private sector activity amid some softening in the labour market conditions and a more challenging business environment
neutral
not forward looking
uncertain
2,008
3
in emerging economies, while domestic demand remains an important source of growth, exports are affected by weak external demand
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,012
552
in this environment, international financial markets have remained relatively stable
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,014
355
the prospects are for domestic demand to remain as the key driver of growth
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,016
19
overall, the economy is projected to expand within expectations in 2016, and to remain on a steady growth path in 2017
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,016
551
the annual average headline inflation will be low in 2018
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,018
557
inflationary pressures are expected to be muted in 2020
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,020
468
looking ahead, growth prospects will be sustained by the positive global growth outlook and spillovers from the external sector to the domestic economy
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,018
474
the baseline projection is for the malaysian economy to grow within the projected range of 4.3 - 4.8
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,019
343
going forward, while recent trends suggest a turnaround in exports, the contribution of the external sector to overall growth is expected to be modest
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,016
228
going forward, the overall growth momentum is expected to be sustained
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,014
332
moving forward, headline inflation is expected to peak in early 2016 and it will moderate for the remainder of the year
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,015
2
the malaysian economy has been affected by these developments
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,008
166
looking ahead, while the external sector performance is likely to be weighed down by slower global growth and trade tensions, economic growth will be supported by domestic demand
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,019
641
for malaysia, the latest indicators point towards significant improvement in economic activity in the third quarter
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,020
484
the global economy continues to expand albeit moderately, supported by domestic demand amid improvement in trade activity
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,024
651
domestic demand is expected to moderate, reflecting the public sector consolidation and some moderation in private consumption
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,013
782
going forward, the economic outlook for malaysia remains favourable
neutral
forward looking
uncertain
2,004
854
investment activity is also projected to remain robust, led by capital spending by the private sector, particularly in the mining, manufacturing and services sectors
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,014
902
domestic demand will continue to be the anchor of growth, supported by private consumption and investment and reinforced by public sector spending and investment activity
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,011
1
the expansion of the malaysian economy continues to be well supported by strong underlying fundamentals
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,004
923
these risks are being carefully monitored to assess their implications on macroeconomic stability and the prospects of the malaysian economy
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,015
958
nevertheless, the pace of recovery will be uneven across sectors, with economic activity in some industries remaining below pre-pandemic levels, and a slower improvement in the labour market
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,020
809
at its meeting today, the monetary policy committee mpc of bank negara malaysia decided to maintain the overnight policy rate opr at 1.75 percent
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,022
180
the pace of recovery, however, varies across countries
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,021
874
the overnight policy rate opr will remain unchanged at its current level of 2.70
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,005
346
monetary policy will continue to balance the risks to inflation and growth
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,006
856
amid continued strength in global demand, supply chain disruptions, higher commodity prices and labour shortages, inflation has also risen
hawkish
forward looking
certain
2,021
765
the labour market is further lifted by a lower unemployment rate, higher labour participation and better income prospects
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,022
975
the ringgit exchange rate will reflect the underlying fundamentals of the economy when the external and domestic uncertainties recede
neutral
forward looking
certain
2,015
643
the adverse global developments have already affected the malaysian economy, as evidenced by the slowdown in export performance and lower equity prices
dovish
not forward looking
certain
2,008
800
private consumption will continue to be an important driver of growth, supported by sustained employment and income growth
dovish
forward looking
certain
2,011
188
the mpc will continue to assess the impact of the cumulative opr adjustments, given the lag effects of monetary policy on the economy
neutral
not forward looking
certain
2,023
671
headline inflation is likely to average negative in 2020 given the substantially lower global oil prices, and average higher in 2021, within the earlier projected ranges
dovish
forward looking
uncertain
2,020
471
both macro and micro prudential measures as well as supervisory oversight have resulted in more prudent lending standards and contained speculative activities in the property market
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,016
533
domestic financial conditions also remain conducive to financial intermediation, with no signs of excessive tightening affecting consumption and investment activities
hawkish
not forward looking
certain
2,023
113